NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49eaba98f73a7e34354dcd535b6ecc82de079738f7f80b79afa67cfd9685acb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 51c | 35,477$18,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,456.77 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Over | 51c | 14,931$7,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,387.31 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 10,531$5,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,164.32 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 48c | 8,272$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 53c | 4,673$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.3 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 4,240$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.8 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 48c | 3,500$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.38 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 2,899$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.09 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 2,493$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…094abacked Under | 7c | 2,373$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Over | 51c | 2,010$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.9 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,971$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.6 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 1,689$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.47 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 1,601$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.91 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 52c | 1,477$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.04 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Over | 51c | 1,274$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 1,180$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.94 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…9ff5backed Under | 50c | 1,005$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 760$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.6 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 688$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.12 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 57c | 682.12$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.39 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 54c | 680.75$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.3 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 46c | 544.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.52 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 52c | 464.47$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Under | 44c | 263.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 7c | 263.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 46c | 250$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 52c | 221$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 49c | 217.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 195.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 73c | 193.42$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 47c | 183.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Over | 50c | 149.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 47c | 142.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 130.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 47c | 129$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Under | 50c | 117.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 49c | 114.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…896dbacked Over | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 101$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 177 | 54.2%96 W · 81 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 47c | 89.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over | 53c | 73.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 47c | 53.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Over | 50c | 49.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Under | 50c | 44.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…7f1fbacked Over | 50c | 41.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 53c | 37.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 31.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…e667backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 51c | 29.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 29.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 27.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed Over | 49c | 26.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 47c | 26.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…69e1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Maple Leafs vs. AvalancheMaple Leafs won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.