CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Voca vs NRG (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d58cfa2407b05fe3c0df563e018f54f16290c23d7b42220aa4b5eb2259f5bcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof Voca, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NRG | 80c | 6,259$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.81 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Voca | 1c | 4,698$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Voca | 19c | 3,841$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.05 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Voca | 23c | 3,633$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.17 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed NRG | 77c | 2,349$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.35 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Voca | 15c | 1,523$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.05 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked NRG | 79c | 1,439$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.68 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Voca | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…d4dcbacked Voca | 12c | 980.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Voca | 27c | 927$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.18 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Voca | 17c | 851.61$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.73 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NRG | 79c | 588.16$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Voca | 23c | 561.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…29dfbacked Voca | 21c | 470.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Voca | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked NRG | 76c | 274.11$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Voca | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Voca | 14c | 249$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed NRG | 75c | 135.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…046bbacked NRG | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked NRG | 78c | 107.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Voca | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbd…16d6backed Voca | 26c | 92.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Voca | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Voca | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…8e9dbacked NRG | 77c | 72.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked NRG | 77c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Voca | 28c | 65.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed NRG | 79c | 64.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Voca | 23c | 62.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed NRG | 78c | 56.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 186 | 57%106 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…4adbbacked Voca | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6abbbacked NRG | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 71cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6698…e620backed NRG | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…e304backed NRG | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…576bbacked NRG | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b3…a7b1backed NRG | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed NRG | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NRG | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…5f8ebacked NRG | 80c | 12.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs NRG (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.