Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0e2cebf38a4837aaf1ef46169c065eafdd6db2df459f1fcc21c8e8ed01ff56d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Muchovaof Rybakina, Muchova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Muchova | 46c | 13,628$6,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Muchova | 60c | 11,667$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.66 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rybakina | 40c | 5,083$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.9 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Rybakina | 63c | 5,047$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.38 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4f…3e14backed Rybakina | 48c | 4,610$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Muchova | 36c | 4,467$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.22 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Muchova | 20c | 3,988$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.55 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Rybakina | 56c | 3,863$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.78 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Rybakina | 65c | 3,137$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.02 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Muchova | 43c | 2,731$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.73 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Muchova | 45c | 2,627$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Rybakina | 80c | 2,478$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.36 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Rybakina | 40c | 2,290$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.25 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Muchova | 41c | 2,057$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.47 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Muchova | 23c | 1,315$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.14 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Rybakina | 70c | 1,266$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.96 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Rybakina | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rybakina | 44c | 1,139$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Rybakina | 65c | 1,100$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rybakina | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Muchova | 54c | 998.72$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.45 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37e…2da4backed Rybakina | 69c | 959.49$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Muchova | 51c | 954.63$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.65 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Muchova | 35c | 818.79$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.18 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…670bbacked Rybakina | 53c | 750.36$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…c514backed Muchova | 22c | 723.23$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Muchova | 21c | 720$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.8 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Rybakina | 6c | 650$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Rybakina | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Rybakina | 22c | 600$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Muchova | 48c | 552.01$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.6 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Rybakina | 78c | 534.47$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Muchova | 42c | 516.43$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.51 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…c82cbacked Rybakina | 70c | 499.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Rybakina | 60c | 462$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.1 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Rybakina | 51c | 451.61$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Muchova | 53c | 435.24$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.71 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Rybakina | 55c | 416.98$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.65 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…8d54backed Muchova | 42c | 403.33$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…1a99backed Rybakina | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…fe8fbacked Muchova | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Muchova | 28c | 360.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.86 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Muchova | 58c | 354.05$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Rybakina | 55c | 351.38$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Muchova | 38c | 337.12$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.13 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Rybakina | 75c | 316.87$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.51 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…a332backed Rybakina | 80c | 277.5$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Muchova | 45c | 270.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Muchova | 22c | 268$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Muchova | 21c | 263$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.1 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rybakina | 55c | 233.62$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rybakina | 54c | 203$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Muchova | 21c | 199.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Muchova | 29c | 182.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.07 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Muchova | 59c | 170.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Muchova | 23c | 165$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…df16backed Rybakina | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…d46ebacked Muchova | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Muchova | 45c | 129.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Rybakina | 79c | 126.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Rybakina | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…046bbacked Rybakina | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 78cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Rybakina | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Rybakina | 69c | 115.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Rybakina | 79c | 113$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…896dbacked Rybakina | 52c | 107$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…2b36backed Rybakina | 66c | 105.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Rybakina | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rybakina | 33c | 104.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Muchova | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…c162backed Rybakina | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Muchova | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe798…b668backed Rybakina | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Rybakina | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Rybakina | 63c | 85.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rybakina | 63c | 84.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5d…526fbacked Muchova | 44c | 78.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked Rybakina | 80c | 71.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Muchova | 40c | 69.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…8323backed Rybakina | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Muchova | 22c | 60.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…83f8backed Rybakina | 61c | 57.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Rybakina | 28c | 53.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Muchova | 50c | 53.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…891bbacked Muchova | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…4aa8backed Muchova | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.43per pick | 47cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…9d6fbacked Muchova | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Rybakina | 54c | 48.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Rybakina | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Rybakina | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Rybakina | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Muchova | 33c | 42.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…cafabacked Muchova | 51c | 42.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Rybakina | 72c | 41.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Muchova | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…7219backed Rybakina | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…6e78backed Rybakina | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac0…540abacked Rybakina | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…6680backed Rybakina | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9d31backed Rybakina | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 42cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchovathis page
- Rybakina vs. Muchova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Rybakina vs. Muchova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.