TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1941…891b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.37
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+63.2%+$12.64
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27.06
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.43
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+257.1%+$41.57
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+203%+$33.8
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.6
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.65
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+488.2%+$61.03
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+900%+$112.5
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Penguins vs. Canucksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Hurricanes vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Devils vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Ducks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$22.39
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
Kraken vs. Hurricanesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$42.22
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.22
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Rochester Americansbacked Rochester Americans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Flames vs. Bruinsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.67
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$18.8
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$18.06
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$14.1
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$15.91
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+300%+$30
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO1)backed paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: P11 Esports vs Deacoy (BO1)backed Deacoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs HMBLE (BO1)backed Colossal Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+376.2%+$94.05
LoL: Deacoy vs Zena Esports (BO1)backed Zena Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
LoL: EKO Esports vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO1)backed EKO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$24.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
ASB Classic, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Brisbane International: Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
ASB Classic: Iva Jovic vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Brisbane International: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+334.8%+$40.17
ASB Classic: Magda Linette vs Alexandra Ealabacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
ASB Classic: Xinyu Wang vs Francesca Jonesbacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Gabriel Diallobacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+177%+$88.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.67
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.67
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.