Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maine Black Bears vs. UMBC Retrievers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac630c80d2707147832782efb56fe5fc713d1ef7921b9442cc7c071b8ef2d5ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UMBC Retrieversof Maine Black Bears, UMBC Retrievers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa28f…d25ebacked Maine Black Bears | 10c | 4,222$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UMBC Retrievers | 78c | 3,637$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.91 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Maine Black Bears | 22c | 3,581$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.84 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UMBC Retrievers | 76c | 2,219$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.26 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed UMBC Retrievers | 73c | 1,976$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.16 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maine Black Bears | 13c | 1,631$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.13 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maine Black Bears | 15c | 1,391$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.39 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Maine Black Bears | 8c | 1,315$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maine Black Bears | 15c | 1,276$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.56 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Maine Black Bears | 27c | 878.45$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.13 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Maine Black Bears | 3c | 647.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed UMBC Retrievers | 78c | 570.39$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Maine Black Bears | 6c | 509.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Maine Black Bears | 9c | 447.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Maine Black Bears | 24c | 382.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Maine Black Bears | 19c | 354.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…bf92backed Maine Black Bears | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Maine Black Bears | 13c | 309.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…7864backed Maine Black Bears | 5c | 252.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Maine Black Bears | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Maine Black Bears | 25c | 241.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…d430backed Maine Black Bears | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed UMBC Retrievers | 77c | 199.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed UMBC Retrievers | 78c | 189$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maine Black Bears | 24c | 168.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maine Black Bears | 24c | 164.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maine Black Bears | 24c | 148.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Maine Black Bears | 17c | 145$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maine Black Bears | 23c | 140.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Maine Black Bears | 8c | 140.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed UMBC Retrievers | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed UMBC Retrievers | 77c | 132$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked UMBC Retrievers | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed UMBC Retrievers | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked UMBC Retrievers | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 78cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…7eeebacked UMBC Retrievers | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…eff9backed Maine Black Bears | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked UMBC Retrievers | 78c | 89.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Maine Black Bears | 21c | 86.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed UMBC Retrievers | 78c | 86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Maine Black Bears | 23c | 81.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maine Black Bears | 18c | 81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked UMBC Retrievers | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Maine Black Bears | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Maine Black Bears | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked UMBC Retrievers | 80c | 46.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed UMBC Retrievers | 79c | 46.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…891bbacked UMBC Retrievers | 78c | 32.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…bba0backed UMBC Retrievers | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked UMBC Retrievers | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f4bbacked UMBC Retrievers | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UMBC Retrievers | 77c | 14.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maine Black Bears vs. UMBC Retrieversthis page
- Maine Black Bears vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 130.5Over won
- Maine Black Bears vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 131.5Under won
- Maine Black Bears vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 132.5Under won
- Maine Black Bears vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 133.5Under won
- Maine Black Bears vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 134.5Under won
- Maine Black Bears vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 135.5Under won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-6.5)UMBC Retrievers won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-7.5)Maine Black Bears won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-8.5)Maine Black Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.