TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94fe…eff9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.36
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.93
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+163.2%+$20.66
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$45.44
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.03
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+334.8%+$77
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$33.15
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42.87
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$47.98
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.31
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$67.86
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51.45
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$82.21
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick35cpaid+134.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+140.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39.5
Oilers vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28.9
Predators vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.12
Lightning vs. Kingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+147.7%+$54.67
All 4 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon State Beavers vs. Portland Pilotsbacked Oregon State Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Maine Black Bears vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Maine Black Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.