NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf13b431bd911c14001ab84fa397695b0dcb7c430579d632abc7f5b78e844c771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 53c | 45,244$23,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,432.89 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 48c | 7,796$3,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,742.08 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 4,471$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.56 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,358$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.47 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…7ac6backed Under | 46c | 3,173$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 2,684$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.52 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 47c | 2,050$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.5 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 49c | 1,982$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 1,694$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.84 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 47c | 1,362$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 1,200$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 52c | 524$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.52 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 49c | 444$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under | 46c | 421$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.66 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 399$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.98 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under | 46c | 333$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Under | 12c | 327.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…eb96backed Under | 48c | 247.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 72c | 246.51$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 47c | 225.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 71c | 200.95$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0700…0e3fbacked Under | 47c | 198.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…bb88backed Over | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Under | 47c | 107.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…e8a3backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 46c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Over | 54c | 91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 48c | 81.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Over | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 47c | 63.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7f…3e16backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…93a6backed Under | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Under | 68c | 44.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…7fecbacked Under | 47c | 40.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 48c | 39.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Under | 47c | 39.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Under | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Under | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Under | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…eff9backed Under | 66c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 49c | 30.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 30.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…061bbacked Under | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe946…0459backed Under | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…f55abacked Under | 47c | 25.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…bf38backed Over | 57c | 22.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Predators vs. OilersOilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.