NHL · resolved market
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf15c6ef9da5adeb8f56463a497470e14b0deed036b6df5e6d055b1be26f52335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 38c | 507$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.42 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Predators | 61c | 426.07$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.84 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Oilers | 41c | 343.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.61 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Predators | 36c | 266$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Oilers | 38c | 261.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.44 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Predators | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Predators | 62c | 187$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Predators | 61c | 112$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Predators | 14c | 107$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Oilers | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Predators | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Oilers | 74c | 87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Predators | 62c | 80.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Predators | 63c | 79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Predators | 62c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Predators | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x822d…97f6backed Predators | 64c | 64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Predators | 62c | 63.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Oilers | 76c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Predators | 61c | 54.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 62c | 54.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Oilers | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Oilers | 38c | 49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Predators | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Oilers | 38c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Oilers | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Oilers | 38c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Oilers | 38c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…94a8backed Oilers | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +68%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Oilers | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Predators | 62c | 31.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Oilers | 38c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Predators | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Predators | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. OilersOilers won
- Predators vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.