NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x156009f9d46c19b3b7b5dd822d437eb172deb33c0d2aa9f3c4e8cd0e180fca20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Wizards, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $878,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $797,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $878,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards | 16c | 155,374$25,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,291.45 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Wizards | 14c | 57,143$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 17c | 20,897$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.09 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Wizards | 14c | 20,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 15c | 19,999$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.8 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Wizards | 14c | 19,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Wizards | 17c | 18,506$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 15c | 16,250$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.04 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 17c | 15,260$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.15 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 13c | 12,662$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.36 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Wizards | 12c | 12,514$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.54 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Wizards | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Wizards | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Wizards | 18c | 9,577$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.43 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 7c | 9,285$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.5 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards | 17c | 9,280$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.28 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Wizards | 18c | 8,479$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.64 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Wizards | 17c | 8,235$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 12c | 8,147$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.49 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Wizards | 13c | 7,700$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards | 17c | 7,190$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.97 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Wizards | 14c | 7,139$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.48 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Wizards | 16c | 6,739$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.84 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec7…3178backed Wizards | 15c | 6,300$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Wizards | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d34…5bbbbacked Wizards | 17c | 6,141$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 5c | 5,638$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.88 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Wizards | 14c | 5,328$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…b747backed Wizards | 16c | 4,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Wizards | 16c | 4,342$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.7 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 16c | 3,750$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…30c4backed Wizards | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a23…fa9bbacked Wizards | 17c | 3,315$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.44 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…04f4backed Wizards | 8c | 3,164$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.83 | 226 | 33.2%75 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…964abacked Wizards | 10c | 3,125$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.52 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…481cbacked Wizards | 16c | 3,100$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Wizards | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Wizards | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 13c | 2,945$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.88 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 11c | 2,942$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.21 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Wizards | 13c | 2,531$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.09 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…c549backed Wizards | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Wizards | 13c | 2,370$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.13 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Wizards | 10c | 2,200$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Wizards | 18c | 2,125$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.85 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 9c | 2,088$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c50…f592backed Wizards | 14c | 2,072$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.08 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…098ebacked Wizards | 12c | 2,069$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Wizards | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Wizards | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 207 | 28.5%59 W · 148 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards | 5c | 1,812$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…767cbacked 76ers | 79c | 1,685$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 1c | 1,685$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…e5e1backed Wizards | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 15c | 1,640$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.96 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Wizards | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Wizards | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Wizards | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1062…ba59backed Wizards | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Wizards | 14c | 1,430$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…df0abacked Wizards | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…24fabacked Wizards | 4c | 1,395$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards | 11c | 1,395$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…9828backed Wizards | 10c | 1,329$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Wizards | 5c | 1,293$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 103 | 4.9%5 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb33c…ddd1backed Wizards | 18c | 1,222$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…74dfbacked Wizards | 21c | 1,210$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Wizards | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…52b6backed Wizards | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked 76ers | 79c | 1,193$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.62 | 447 | 51.5%230 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…6d10backed Wizards | 17c | 1,136$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.02 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Wizards | 11c | 1,114$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Wizards | 17c | 1,105$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.82 | 458 | 38%174 W · 284 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb036…b4eebacked Wizards | 15c | 1,100$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Wizards | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Wizards | 13c | 1,057$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.41 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Wizards | 1c | 1,041$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Wizards | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…0b03backed Wizards | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…ca0bbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Wizards | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…95c3backed Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 201 | 46.3%93 W · 108 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…80f2backed Wizards | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2966…e9b9backed 76ers | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Wizards | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…f2b5backed Wizards | 15c | 999.96$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Wizards | 2c | 961.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…0e79backed Wizards | 17c | 941.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…b963backed Wizards | 14c | 936.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…173dbacked Wizards | 10c | 912.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f76…c081backed Wizards | 18c | 888.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Wizards | 10c | 843.61$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed 76ers | 79c | 843.01$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.03 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wizards | 17c | 803.48$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…6abfbacked Wizards | 12c | 800$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…bc81backed Wizards | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Wizards | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Wizards | 18c | 799.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. 76ersthis page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-7.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-8.5)Wizards won
- Spread: 76ers (-11.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-14.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-16.5)76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.