NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bab3ffb95cd3b14e624396371ae4d6b01cc131429dd49340d683a093e64548f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b6…da08backed Over | 51c | 8,400$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…e3dabacked Under | 49c | 8,400$4,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,116 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…a2a9backed Under | 49c | 8,400$4,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,116 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…2b11backed Over | 51c | 8,400$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…74c2backed Over | 51c | 8,400$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…ce21backed Under | 49c | 8,400$4,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,116 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…aa56backed Under | 49c | 8,150$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd9…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 8,150$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 2,161$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.11 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 1,906$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.48 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 52c | 996.15$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.15 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 451.78$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.3 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Over | 55c | 265.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 241.17$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 215$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 51c | 189.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…a385backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 48c | 172.05$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 154.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 48c | 152.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 55c | 85.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 79.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Under | 49c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 53.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 38.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 29.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 48c | 27.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 25.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…dd10backed Under | 47c | 25.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-7.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-8.5)Wizards won
- Spread: 76ers (-11.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-14.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-16.5)76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.