NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6117fa957d130a768a4e15f563ac6f5c0b4664e5efdf5f2d57cf2b75e5bf7e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 48c | 3,586$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 76ers | 54c | 2,979$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.5 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed 76ers | 62c | 2,237$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Wizards | 38c | 2,237$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wizards | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers | 45c | 1,611$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.77 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers | 54c | 1,432$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.69 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers | 57c | 1,405$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.19 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wizards | 46c | 1,358$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.88 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed 76ers | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.98 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed 76ers | 57c | 1,043$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.66 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked 76ers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Wizards | 37c | 940.43$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.96 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 46c | 904.68$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed 76ers | 54c | 865.13$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.08 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Wizards | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Wizards | 42c | 334.54$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.26 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed 76ers | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Wizards | 38c | 223$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Wizards | 44c | 180$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed 76ers | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked 76ers | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Wizards | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 66c | 107.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Wizards | 44c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Wizards | 46c | 89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wizards | 44c | 85.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed 76ers | 60c | 83.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wizards | 49c | 79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…ff92backed Wizards | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Wizards | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…2eefbacked 76ers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Wizards | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…7f1fbacked 76ers | 54c | 55.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed Wizards | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Wizards | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed 76ers | 58c | 41.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 268 | 42.9%115 W · 153 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Wizards | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d8…0969backed 76ers | 55c | 37.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Wizards | 48c | 35.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Wizards | 44c | 32.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…4d00backed Wizards | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…196ebacked 76ers | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed 76ers | 51c | 21.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…70aebacked 76ers | 58c | 20.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…e70ebacked 76ers | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-7.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-8.5)Wizards won
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-14.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-16.5)76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.