NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf05d5a2a1aac0a3acda01f5e37bd9fa4c6bbed1bca4cd62de1a0ee2542dcbfc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Wizards, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Wizards | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed 76ers | 77c | 566.9$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.39 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed 76ers | 61c | 542.8$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…fe28backed Wizards | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 22c | 494.36$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers | 76c | 297.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Wizards | 24c | 142.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wizards | 19c | 134.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…2ac4backed 76ers | 69c | 110$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…2957backed 76ers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Wizards | 21c | 99.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers | 76c | 73.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed 76ers | 79c | 72.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…6f6ebacked Wizards | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed 76ers | 60c | 40.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed 76ers | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 76ers | 66c | 26.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-7.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-8.5)Wizards won
- Spread: 76ers (-11.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-14.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-16.5)76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.