NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ed6136c3f00662785ef8c99fd1117f65bb05117ffd9b74a0de81a48b364924c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9315…a744backed Over | 52c | 13,000$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Under | 48c | 13,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 46c | 6,483$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 4,638$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 52c | 2,118$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.94 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 824.8$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.47 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Under | 48c | 666.27$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.81 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 614.82$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 426.19$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.57 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 388.75$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.49 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Over | 53c | 255.11$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 73c | 117.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Over | 52c | 116$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Over | 52c | 116$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 107$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 55c | 87.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…ff92backed Under | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 60.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Under | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Over | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Under | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Under | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…7ca3backed Over | 57c | 39.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 38.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…62bbbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 31.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 31.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1c…1f33backed Over | 56c | 26.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 25.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed Over | 53c | 25.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…398bbacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Over | 57c | 18.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-7.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-8.5)Wizards won
- Spread: 76ers (-11.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-14.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-16.5)76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.