NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ad7390dc52faf11d8003290cd32759dd09260cce7d0e5c68e3ceab541cbe96f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers | 52c | 4,643$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.14 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 48c | 1,841$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.77 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Wizards | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 46c | 946.02$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Wizards | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 53c | 316.09$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 53c | 310$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.18 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Wizards | 53c | 285.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Wizards | 47c | 190$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Wizards | 49c | 165$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 76ers | 54c | 124.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Wizards | 46c | 112.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed 76ers | 51c | 111$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Wizards | 48c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked 76ers | 48c | 97.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 50c | 95.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Wizards | 48c | 38.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 52c | 36.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Wizards | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked 76ers | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Wizards | 51c | 29.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers | 49c | 29.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Wizards | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Wizards | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbd…6ffebacked Wizards | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-7.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-8.5)Wizards won
- Spread: 76ers (-11.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-16.5)76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.