TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards42c13,430$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,610.123,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers56c8,445$4,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,707.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed 76ers60c5,560$3,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.071,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed 76ers50c5,101$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.62,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed 76ers76c2,913$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.942,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Wizards48c2,074$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035447.7%169 W · 185 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards51c1,984$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.632,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Wizards49c1,968$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.932,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Wizards28c1,782$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.0327937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards30c1,572$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed 76ers53c1,111$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.822,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers51c1,094$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.871,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Wizards15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509042.2%38 W · 52 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards46c999.86$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.944,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Wizards18c986.45$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers46c871.86$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.584,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers60c843.29$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.513,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Wizards40c807.81$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.1223250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards49c612$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fc…b527backed 76ers58c500$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Wizards39c441.59$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.482,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Wizards54c424.52$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9410138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers58c416.48$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.92,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed 76ers53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18821858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Wizards55c375$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.2514251.4%73 W · 69 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Wizards43c284.81$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9959141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Wizards45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Wizards47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Wizards47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Wizards10c208.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6130616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers48c202.17$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.522,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Wizards45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907544%33 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Wizards49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.434451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Wizards52c159.44$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9116045%72 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 76ers53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Wizards11c145.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3512727.6%35 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers55c135.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.553,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Wizards52c132.69$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6949852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x797f…d774backed Wizards39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b2…089abacked Wizards46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509340.9%38 W · 55 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Wizards19c101.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.921,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed 76ers54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4695548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Wizards37c99.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6350347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked 76ers54c96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.168759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Wizards53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Wizards48c92.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5987453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Wizards21c92.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6924846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed 76ers56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2928063.6%178 W · 102 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed 76ers68c87.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.236546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed 76ers60c84.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7185147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked 76ers54c84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6423153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Wizards48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.47142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Wizards49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Wizards49c79.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.262349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards40c72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.112,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Wizards44c65.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2928251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed 76ers56c62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.285455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Wizards45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2719940.7%81 W · 118 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked 76ers53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.273445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Wizards49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.433147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Wizards49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.431754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Wizards49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.434254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Wizards43c57.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6393849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Wizards49c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5234053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed 76ers52c46.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.139736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Wizards46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed 76ers60c42.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.021,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd24…9ebebacked Wizards47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Wizards48c41.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.026451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked 76ers53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.828852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Wizards49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.623348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed 76ers53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.831551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed Wizards46c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.943545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Wizards52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6606…a628backed Wizards52c38.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed 76ers53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8620456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed 76ers53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7412052.5%63 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9276…081ebacked Wizards53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Wizards51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1844648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed 76ers53c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9236651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed 76ers53c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9215051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed 76ers53c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9287647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Wizards46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.642850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed 76ers58c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.026058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Wizards46c30.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed 76ers53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.123753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked 76ers53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.127350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed 76ers53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.122048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked 76ers53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.132649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked 76ers53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.123850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed 76ers53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.127251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed 76ers53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.125250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed 76ers53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.131852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Wizards49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.727353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Wizards49c29.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6827150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked 76ers60c29.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7829458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Wizards51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511642.2%49 W · 67 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed 76ers49c24.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.522,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked 76ers53c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2824552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed 76ers53c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2814648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.