TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hobart International, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Moyuka Uchijima

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Semenistajaof Semenistaja, Uchijima
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0588…8f18backed Uchijima19c6,713$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.391020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Semenistaja68c5,020$3,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.872,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Uchijima16c3,787$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.7819167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Uchijima59c3,417$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.995851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Semenistaja43c3,406$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.132,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Semenistaja54c3,276$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.234252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Semenistaja73c1,668$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.4510161.4%62 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed Uchijima37c1,477$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.931040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Uchijima50c1,377$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.262,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Uchijima16c1,366$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.021442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Uchijima21c1,363$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Uchijima2c1,346$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.271085.6%6 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Uchijima38c1,320$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Uchijima21c1,287$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.468,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Semenistaja49c1,139$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.481,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Uchijima46c1,082$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.7255143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Semenistaja54c1,065$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.8132637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Semenistaja48c1,062$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.718158%47 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Semenistaja67c1,051$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.142,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Semenistaja61c1,032$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.372,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Uchijima70c1,021$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.372962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Uchijima45c1,006$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.714343.4%62 W · 81 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x421e…81bcbacked Uchijima42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Uchijima31c999.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3107037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Semenistaja57c889.95$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.891,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Uchijima56c885.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013461.9%83 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Uchijima51c841.34$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.6525542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Semenistaja51c796.75$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.786046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Uchijima66c681.01$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.936855.9%38 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Uchijima4c675.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Uchijima22c554$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.631,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…6220backed Uchijima12c549.16$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Semenistaja63c537.5$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.492,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Uchijima24c522.62$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.236,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6116…1cc2backed Uchijima65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17b…b6d5backed Semenistaja35c499.98$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Semenistaja74c429.07$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.626058.3%35 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa00…eba1backed Semenistaja36c415.39$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Uchijima45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18042141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Uchijima10c356.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.061565.8%9 W · 147 L-32.4wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Uchijima25c352$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.643030%9 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e2f…578fbacked Uchijima36c346.62$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.58850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Semenistaja35c256$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.434,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Semenistaja66c251.38$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.172,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Semenistaja37c233$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8947057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Uchijima7c228.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.832,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Semenistaja45c226.97$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.836,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Semenistaja46c220$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.81,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Uchijima48c212.35$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9317432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Semenistaja65c208.26$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.897427%20 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x94fe…eff9backed Uchijima26c181.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.61771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick35cpaid+134.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Semenistaja56c178.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7510862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Uchijima58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a44…e974backed Semenistaja60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Uchijima34c163.45$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5639850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc06c…2a86backed Uchijima18c156.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.65520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Semenistaja63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.518250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Uchijima16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244513.3%6 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+134.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a62…c009backed Semenistaja67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f0a…046bbacked Semenistaja75c135.13$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick78cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Uchijima45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Uchijima57c121.14$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Uchijima19c120.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1916150.3%81 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Uchijima14c115.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4646649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Semenistaja55c112$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0473350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33b…fa01backed Uchijima52c108.68$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.751764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53be…8b7fbacked Uchijima69c108.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe759…3648backed Semenistaja41c94.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5915551.6%80 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x390c…e88ebacked Uchijima68c92.79$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Uchijima38c91.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.596918.8%13 W · 56 L-11.0wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-50.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Uchijima47c84.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5727627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Uchijima53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Uchijima22c75.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.648713.8%12 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3079…7b77backed Uchijima57c73.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4dd…9c06backed Semenistaja71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x114f…4602backed Semenistaja80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51586.7%13 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick77cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fa1…df77backed Semenistaja35c53.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.87742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Uchijima45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.534154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc837…2e91backed Uchijima51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252744.4%12 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-32.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Uchijima33c44.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.624055%22 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6257…99f6backed Uchijima42c43.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.271040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd8…e7d4backed Semenistaja72c42.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.053080%24 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c3…d3b3backed Semenistaja71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251675%12 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc11d…6680backed Semenistaja71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251275%9 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a0c…37e1backed Semenistaja31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee56…51a8backed Uchijima66c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4883…98abbacked Semenistaja71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.043271.9%23 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0b…ac7dbacked Semenistaja43c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.13944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3457…0161backed Semenistaja70c33.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.245162.7%32 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed Uchijima33c31.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.235050%25 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Semenistaja68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Uchijima69c29.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.451618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Semenistaja49c27.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.131,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Uchijima70c27.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9521949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8e…00abbacked Semenistaja75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x494e…db20backed Semenistaja60c23.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.59366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e3…f314backed Uchijima47c22.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…ed39backed Semenistaja79c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.091275%9 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff2…b81fbacked Uchijima59c18.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xded2…aa1bbacked Uchijima68c16.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.