Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Sebastian Korda vs Alex Michelsen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7d0abee2c3841c4f4ef243196b8fcc979bcce0b10186eecfce263221b46a192
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michelsenof Korda, Michelsen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Korda | 36c | 25,173$9,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,044.14 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfeb…1b83backed Korda | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Michelsen | 62c | 11,583$7,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,390.35 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Korda | 33c | 9,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Michelsen | 58c | 6,000$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.98 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Korda | 67c | 4,801$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.81 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Michelsen | 33c | 3,836$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.16 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Michelsen | 49c | 3,661$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.26 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Korda | 39c | 3,276$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.45 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Michelsen | 65c | 3,000$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.99 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Michelsen | 36c | 2,873$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.44 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Korda | 64c | 2,797$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.89 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Michelsen | 60c | 2,781$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.28 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Korda | 28c | 2,727$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…892cbacked Korda | 66c | 2,726$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.16 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Korda | 28c | 2,713$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.07 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Korda | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Michelsen | 51c | 2,533$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.01 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…edc9backed Michelsen | 64c | 2,257$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Michelsen | 67c | 2,228$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.13 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Korda | 5c | 1,810$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 83 | 13.3%11 W · 72 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Korda | 35c | 1,711$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.77 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Michelsen | 54c | 1,658$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.16 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Korda | 28c | 1,653$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.83 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Michelsen | 61c | 1,647$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.8 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Michelsen | 59c | 1,623$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.54 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…a314backed Korda | 66c | 1,525$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…c1f9backed Michelsen | 34c | 1,523$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Michelsen | 43c | 1,513$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Michelsen | 34c | 1,451$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.79 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Korda | 41c | 1,323$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.47 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Michelsen | 67c | 1,225$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.53 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Korda | 38c | 1,221$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.98 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Korda | 32c | 1,148$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.85 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Korda | 50c | 1,140$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Korda | 38c | 1,111$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.24 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Michelsen | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.91 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Michelsen | 48c | 1,024$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.37 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Korda | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.95 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Korda | 38c | 999.99$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Korda | 66c | 980.28$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.99 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Korda | 2c | 945.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Korda | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…7d67backed Michelsen | 65c | 752.29$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Michelsen | 67c | 711.25$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.25 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Michelsen | 63c | 699.99$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Michelsen | 64c | 679.74$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Michelsen | 65c | 662.2$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.88 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Korda | 64c | 658.96$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.74 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Korda | 48c | 657.77$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.64 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -9.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Michelsen | 58c | 620.99$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.82 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Korda | 52c | 578.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Korda | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…72dbbacked Korda | 36c | 552.83$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Michelsen | 45c | 551$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.96 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Michelsen | 37c | 546.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.73 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Michelsen | 64c | 539.06$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.06 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Korda | 42c | 500$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.53 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Korda | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…80e7backed Korda | 66c | 457.89$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Michelsen | 63c | 455$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.35 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Michelsen | 34c | 450$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Korda | 38c | 426.37$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Korda | 38c | 417.09$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Michelsen | 69c | 415.01$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Korda | 36c | 367.79$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Michelsen | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Korda | 65c | 336.15$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Michelsen | 34c | 326.38$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.41 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…7923backed Michelsen | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Korda | 67c | 302.64$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.28 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Korda | 35c | 299.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Korda | 36c | 279.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Michelsen | 62c | 270.97$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…081bbacked Korda | 66c | 265.32$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Korda | 38c | 262$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Michelsen | 69c | 251.49$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Korda | 38c | 248.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michelsen | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Michelsen | 64c | 235.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Korda | 41c | 231.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Korda | 16c | 224$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Michelsen | 37c | 218.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Michelsen | 68c | 215.19$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0747…7e58backed Michelsen | 70c | 212.86$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Michelsen | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Korda | 6c | 199.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Korda | 64c | 197.3$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.66 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Michelsen | 65c | 192.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…fdf8backed Korda | 65c | 191.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Korda | 35c | 188.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Korda | 66c | 185.58$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Korda | 36c | 184.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Michelsen | 72c | 182.26$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Korda | 32c | 171.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Korda | 66c | 170.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Michelsen | 62c | 160.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Korda | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Michelsen | 67c | 149.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Michelsen | 67c | 149.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Sebastian Korda vs Alex Michelsenthis page
- Korda vs. Michelsen: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Korda vs MichelsenMichelsen won
- Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)Michelsen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.