World Politics · resolved market
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a57653d64d44bf591f13dcd3953b7be367e6167f5e8d0a2ee0a2e1e92307831
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,187,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,187,113 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b0…fb79backed Yes | 34c | 62,823$21,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,359.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 17c | 42,187$7,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,343.05 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 74c | 41,757$30,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,969.29 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…90ccbacked Yes | 27c | 40,146$10,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,745.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked Yes | 25c | 36,176$9,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,053.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…6a8dbacked Yes | 28c | 35,867$9,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,994.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8b…cb8ebacked No | 66c | 32,573$21,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,074.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +229.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…31cabacked No | 66c | 31,993$21,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,877.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c75…3c94backed Yes | 7c | 21,122$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 20c | 20,728$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.16 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…4d21backed Yes | 21c | 19,776$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…7d13backed Yes | 23c | 18,318$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.69 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 32c | 18,147$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…11a8backed Yes | 24c | 18,050$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 20c | 16,679$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,378.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 19c | 16,630$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.44 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 74c | 16,620$12,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,268.71 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 15,165$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.22 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…2259backed No | 68c | 14,581$9,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,665.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Yes | 20c | 13,737$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…2e73backed Yes | 29c | 12,490$3,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,636.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 23c | 11,721$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.97 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…6396backed Yes | 16c | 11,310$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…1025backed Yes | 29c | 10,357$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…bc3cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 17c | 8,125$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4504…6f71backed Yes | 7c | 7,811$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked Yes | 15c | 7,719$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.34 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a1…296bbacked Yes | 5c | 7,713$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…dde5backed Yes | 12c | 7,662$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 22c | 7,615$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 28c | 6,640$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 20c | 6,575$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.9 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9faa…3776backed Yes | 13c | 6,397$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Yes | 8c | 6,358$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 32c | 6,313$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.6 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…f295backed Yes | 20c | 6,184$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…e0adbacked Yes | 19c | 6,111$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…5608backed No | 77c | 6,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 9c | 5,928$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.44 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 17c | 5,845$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.36 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 5,544$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.57 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…106cbacked Yes | 21c | 5,071$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…e44ebacked Yes | 14c | 5,000$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…6f7dbacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…089fbacked Yes | 17c | 4,802$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 67c | 4,752$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.31 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 70c | 4,684$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.12 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…30c3backed Yes | 30c | 4,506$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…0e6dbacked Yes | 24c | 4,418$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…83b9backed Yes | 21c | 4,369$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 80c | 4,343$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.76 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed Yes | 24c | 4,148$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 4,119$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.87 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…825abacked Yes | 25c | 4,001$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c7…3ba9backed Yes | 18c | 3,863$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 26c | 3,800$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.93 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 31c | 3,675$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.26 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 31c | 3,674$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.88 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ad…11edbacked Yes | 28c | 3,663$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…d3a5backed Yes | 18c | 3,603$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ee…6aebbacked Yes | 29c | 3,486$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…68abbacked Yes | 29c | 3,481$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 22c | 3,443$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.3 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…234ebacked Yes | 23c | 3,414$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6959backed Yes | 27c | 3,414$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 12c | 3,333$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.49 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 28c | 3,279$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.02 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 30c | 2,993$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…27e7backed Yes | 21c | 2,982$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 6c | 2,953$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.51 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 12c | 2,901$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.06 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 76c | 2,852$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.95 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…84fdbacked Yes | 27c | 2,815$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 2,800$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.99 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x049f…a4ffbacked Yes | 18c | 2,765$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…74bcbacked Yes | 22c | 2,710$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b0…3d89backed Yes | 18c | 2,704$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 27c | 2,658$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.05 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 16c | 2,611$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.02 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c58…e8b9backed Yes | 21c | 2,584$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739b…349dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,576$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd463…8513backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…75debacked Yes | 20c | 2,452$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa96…2d83backed Yes | 21c | 2,397$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…205abacked Yes | 20c | 2,375$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…b538backed Yes | 14c | 2,331$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 2,308$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.88 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…7c39backed Yes | 20c | 2,304$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 2,277$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.32 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…b15ebacked Yes | 23c | 2,229$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.39 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed No | 75c | 2,215$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked Yes | 28c | 2,171$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.87 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…3f91backed Yes | 34c | 2,121$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 18c | 2,113$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.61 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…2439backed Yes | 40c | 2,081$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…23e3backed Yes | 21c | 2,074$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…d7ecbacked No | 71c | 2,068$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?this page
- Will David Belliard win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes won
- Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.