World Politics · resolved market
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ca2465222c60f5803c22fd94c6c40fa2321447f9af5be6f77dd1a5644355dd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $372,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,897 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb23…0252backed Yes | 0c | 104,165$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…f438backed Yes | 0c | 104,149$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9d…b801backed Yes | 0c | 104,141$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaba…82dabacked Yes | 0c | 103,913$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…a1e0backed Yes | 0c | 103,741$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6c…37b6backed Yes | 0c | 103,721$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…3b22backed Yes | 0c | 100,794$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…ad65backed Yes | 0c | 100,428$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa90f…deb9backed Yes | 0c | 94,619$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…404ebacked Yes | 0c | 94,170$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…8d07backed Yes | 0c | 94,160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe435…4fe6backed Yes | 0c | 93,559$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0892…ca2cbacked Yes | 0c | 91,682$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…bdb0backed Yes | 0c | 90,914$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…0aa5backed Yes | 0c | 90,230$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…8559backed Yes | 0c | 89,237$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…b6febacked Yes | 0c | 88,996$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…cc1bbacked Yes | 0c | 87,911$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…61b4backed Yes | 0c | 87,779$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be7…04afbacked Yes | 0c | 87,623$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…f68bbacked Yes | 0c | 87,110$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ba…5b48backed Yes | 0c | 87,100$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa286…a72dbacked Yes | 0c | 87,099$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff5…454ebacked Yes | 0c | 87,000$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…0d14backed Yes | 0c | 86,082$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…c761backed Yes | 0c | 85,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4b…f730backed Yes | 0c | 80,722$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 41,990$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…e8e6backed Yes | 0c | 41,303$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…153dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…8c7fbacked Yes | 0c | 27,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…5f3abacked Yes | 0c | 23,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f29…f2a4backed Yes | 0c | 21,050$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…fc88backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 19,998$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…ca8cbacked Yes | 0c | 19,792$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 15,178$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…60debacked Yes | 0c | 13,861$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,005$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…c88bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e7…3bbcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,151$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 10,039$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…0451backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…6128backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed Yes | 0c | 7,714$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2150…581bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,899$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +73%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 5,715$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…c561backed Yes | 0c | 3,802$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,759$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…905abacked Yes | 1c | 2,589$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 0c | 2,587$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,205$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,175$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,077$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 2,015$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…9681backed Yes | 15c | 1,995$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 1c | 1,921$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf87f…43a5backed Yes | 2c | 1,568$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd02…9de4backed Yes | 2c | 1,310$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…cc96backed Yes | 1c | 1,256$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…a073backed Yes | 38c | 975$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…56f1backed Yes | 2c | 771$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9d…172fbacked Yes | 2c | 713.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…c46ebacked Yes | 2c | 654.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…ee39backed Yes | 10c | 600.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 2c | 592.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 11c | 401.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eff…6c34backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…6ddcbacked Yes | 10c | 250.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5a…7e0cbacked No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 11c | 223.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d6…5d10backed No | 62c | 210$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 201.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…1c1cbacked No | 62c | 194$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…0315backed Yes | 7c | 181.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…2ea4backed No | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…40e1backed No | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 9c | 138.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89a3…70c0backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +283.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?this page
- Will David Belliard win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes won
- Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.