World Politics · resolved market
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72b25fe7b05903658eea56ffd995dc4f0f252d49d6a9a202bac103dd29ab2ba5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,060,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,060,358 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f90…90ccbacked Yes | 1c | 207,141$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1e…3760backed Yes | 7c | 136,337$9,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,567.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f104backed Yes | 5c | 111,946$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…3572backed Yes | 4c | 111,204$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b62…9ecdbacked Yes | 3c | 103,081$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…adefbacked Yes | 6c | 102,003$6,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,391.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4504…6f71backed Yes | 9c | 89,480$8,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,127.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7667…6cfdbacked Yes | 4c | 71,336$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 63,150$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.06 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 49,351$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Yes | 1c | 48,619$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…6d70backed Yes | 2c | 48,100$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…d7ecbacked Yes | 6c | 41,961$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…a745backed Yes | 4c | 39,928$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 3c | 33,191$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.67 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 30,364$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.6 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6959backed Yes | 1c | 27,233$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ab…a612backed Yes | 6c | 26,000$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes | 4c | 25,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…153dbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d72…a6a6backed Yes | 3c | 23,498$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…942abacked Yes | 2c | 20,872$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…3c96backed Yes | 5c | 20,813$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 20,334$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…04fabacked Yes | 1c | 20,205$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 18,367$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 2c | 18,283$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.23 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fb58backed Yes | 6c | 15,985$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…a44abacked Yes | 2c | 15,887$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…ea24backed Yes | 3c | 15,665$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…28cdbacked Yes | 3c | 15,255$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…1017backed Yes | 4c | 15,040$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…27d3backed Yes | 6c | 14,474$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…312ebacked Yes | 1c | 13,805$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3d…9431backed Yes | 0c | 13,803$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…8047backed Yes | 4c | 12,900$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 12,720$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…ac5dbacked Yes | 3c | 12,651$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…aba0backed Yes | 4c | 11,562$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…1d36backed Yes | 2c | 10,798$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…5ff0backed Yes | 2c | 10,200$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…3460backed Yes | 1c | 10,198$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…a2fdbacked Yes | 1c | 10,183$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…f6cfbacked Yes | 1c | 10,170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…0451backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…0db3backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…54a5backed Yes | 3c | 9,621$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…45e2backed Yes | 2c | 9,608$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a29…ff3bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,596$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…14f7backed Yes | 2c | 9,434$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b0…78f7backed Yes | 1c | 9,357$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…4facbacked Yes | 2c | 9,330$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…cd30backed Yes | 1c | 8,905$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…5ceabacked Yes | 4c | 8,383$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…2475backed Yes | 6c | 8,019$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafb…7566backed Yes | 0c | 8,005$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…93fcbacked Yes | 5c | 7,802$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…3282backed Yes | 7c | 7,623$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…84fdbacked Yes | 3c | 7,465$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…32ffbacked Yes | 4c | 7,362$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f17…fac0backed Yes | 1c | 7,221$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…4141backed Yes | 2c | 7,170$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 7,073$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.74 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25fb…af61backed Yes | 5c | 7,024$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 5c | 7,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe15…3fe8backed Yes | 2c | 6,803$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…6eecbacked Yes | 5c | 6,783$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…8655backed Yes | 3c | 6,764$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes | 11c | 6,712$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…677cbacked Yes | 2c | 6,517$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…56f8backed Yes | 2c | 6,480$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…608abacked Yes | 8c | 6,442$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 5c | 6,379$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.49 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…c2e8backed Yes | 3c | 6,146$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1817…d590backed Yes | 6c | 6,110$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7237…1e5dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,980$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 5,979$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.72 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…5e40backed Yes | 2c | 5,948$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…ac45backed Yes | 0c | 5,748$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…79bdbacked Yes | 4c | 5,738$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…16fabacked Yes | 8c | 5,523$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5979…3a7dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,465$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…f87bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,349$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…aae2backed Yes | 1c | 5,333$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbd…64f4backed Yes | 7c | 5,322$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 5c | 5,186$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.14 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a8…6742backed Yes | 2c | 5,105$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…5941backed Yes | 4c | 4,861$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Yes | 0c | 4,836$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…f42cbacked Yes | 6c | 4,790$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418e…1bedbacked Yes | 3c | 4,698$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4860…1a00backed Yes | 5c | 4,654$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…09d9backed Yes | 5c | 4,548$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…4d84backed Yes | 3c | 4,366$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8f46backed Yes | 1c | 4,366$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…3102backed Yes | 2c | 4,217$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 4,155$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.16 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…3173backed Yes | 2c | 4,155$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?this page
- Will David Belliard win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes won
- Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.