Boxing · resolved market
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddfb12aec111ff5ef2f2460076fbedd98c48c93ae801089ebb94af95af91e8dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,116,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,232,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,116,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 606 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 18c | 48,067$8,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,553.02 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 2c | 42,908$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.82 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 29c | 37,038$10,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,738.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed Yes | 74c | 25,113$18,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,516.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +214.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked No | 5c | 23,701$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 25c | 21,369$5,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,308.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…158bbacked No | 9c | 20,320$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…65d1backed No | 28c | 20,000$5,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,590.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…a760backed Yes | 68c | 16,999$11,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2a…534ebacked No | 12c | 11,910$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…f064backed No | 12c | 10,729$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.84 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…6065backed No | 29c | 10,150$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…b2edbacked Yes | 78c | 9,018$6,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed No | 24c | 9,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 69c | 8,894$6,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…af54backed No | 21c | 8,297$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 71c | 8,012$5,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…5319backed No | 5c | 7,849$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 73c | 7,659$5,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 7c | 7,560$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…ae7ebacked No | 17c | 7,463$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0522backed Yes | 75c | 7,005$5,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…3c98backed Yes | 73c | 6,056$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 72c | 6,000$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.6 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed No | 28c | 5,993$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 5,577$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.13 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…56a5backed No | 15c | 5,539$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…1b1abacked Yes | 76c | 5,277$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed No | 21c | 5,148$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…bdb0backed No | 28c | 5,127$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked No | 33c | 5,025$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa881…cd20backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 1cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 10c | 4,763$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.82 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed Yes | 75c | 4,500$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.15 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +338.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 7c | 4,400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.57 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…a8cdbacked Yes | 75c | 4,085$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…22e8backed No | 11c | 3,971$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 24c | 3,862$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…b97abacked Yes | 71c | 3,830$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 20c | 3,813$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.46 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 17c | 3,488$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.66 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…0a71backed Yes | 71c | 3,400$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 9c | 3,195$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.75 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…6b54backed Yes | 69c | 3,000$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…4aacbacked Yes | 71c | 2,920$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 22c | 2,675$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 61c | 2,656$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 36cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 4c | 2,652$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 18c | 2,536$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.97 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 4c | 2,523$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…8088backed Yes | 76c | 2,514$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…810abacked No | 8c | 2,503$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…3d19backed No | 14c | 2,501$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 18c | 2,500$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 18c | 2,428$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05b…7ba9backed No | 5c | 2,354$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449a…a3c8backed No | 11c | 2,300$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 77c | 2,283$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,282$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 9c | 2,238$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…9685backed No | 14c | 2,227$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb4…be7dbacked Yes | 74c | 2,157$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…d9f1backed No | 26c | 2,157$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d82…ea1fbacked Yes | 79c | 2,086$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a9…f884backed Yes | 71c | 2,086$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…16b8backed No | 10c | 2,050$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…86f3backed Yes | 76c | 2,033$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 10c | 2,032$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.16 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a04…1b8bbacked Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f3…38c9backed No | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…45a3backed No | 29c | 1,980$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…0f1cbacked No | 11c | 1,962$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…e1e5backed No | 39c | 1,886$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 12c | 1,878$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ed…bc2ebacked No | 27c | 1,876$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Yes | 69c | 1,829$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…bb48backed Yes | 70c | 1,757$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…08edbacked No | 26c | 1,756$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…8debbacked Yes | 74c | 1,753$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 17c | 1,752$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.92 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb240…87b1backed Yes | 75c | 1,614$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d268backed No | 26c | 1,593$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…b153backed Yes | 74c | 1,590$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 16c | 1,522$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 7c | 1,473$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed No | 32c | 1,470$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 73c | 1,466$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.57 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…8e20backed No | 26c | 1,451$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…3250backed Yes | 74c | 1,447$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…af58backed No | 35c | 1,440$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 72c | 1,440$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +330.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…3700backed No | 29c | 1,439$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e8…a0bfbacked Yes | 69c | 1,429$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…14bebacked No | 11c | 1,418$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…816ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,416$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 69c | 1,400$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b7…42f6backed No | 18c | 1,396$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbead…e43dbacked No | 5c | 1,370$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?this page
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.