Boxing · resolved market
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3f8bcfaa5ddcd95cfaf4329e68d0df8017be7350a9b05167383b3a877028776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Yes | 7c | 37,691$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 7cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 13c | 6,777$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed No | 72c | 6,094$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 14c | 5,527$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 19cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 8c | 5,469$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…9357backed Yes | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…a2cdbacked Yes | 8c | 3,681$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…69c5backed Yes | 6c | 3,129$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…8b4fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,054$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 45c | 2,994$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Yes | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 2,394$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Yes | 41c | 2,377$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 59c | 2,107$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 6c | 2,097$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…2a6cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,067$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 4c | 2,001$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…2d8dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,954$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5925…b194backed Yes | 10c | 1,909$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…14f6backed Yes | 3c | 1,824$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 8c | 1,808$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5e…3a87backed Yes | 3c | 1,762$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +179.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,670$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked No | 61c | 1,643$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Yes | 3c | 1,560$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed No | 58c | 1,510$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked No | 76c | 1,500$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 9c | 1,436$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.94 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 1,383$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.72 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a8…21f0backed Yes | 7c | 1,350$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 9c | 1,188$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 11c | 1,184$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 9c | 1,083$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,078$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +255.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…a0cdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,074$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6473…19f7backed Yes | 5c | 1,043$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 1,008$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…ece6backed Yes | 5c | 962.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 5c | 953.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 21c | 915.4$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…ab69backed Yes | 7c | 873.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +152.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd94d…af71backed Yes | 2c | 854.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 26c | 845$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…3793backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…f2c0backed Yes | 8c | 826.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 32c | 800$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…9c50backed Yes | 11c | 758.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…4486backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 32cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…11a7backed Yes | 14c | 691.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab3…f52bbacked Yes | 17c | 686.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4d…6103backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…b019backed Yes | 25c | 605.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +126%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…35c2backed Yes | 16c | 601.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…958ebacked Yes | 3c | 600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…2034backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked No | 68c | 588.34$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ea…4da1backed Yes | 9c | 585.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…f79bbacked Yes | 9c | 585.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 15cpaid | +464.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…9bdfbacked Yes | 8c | 581.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…1af7backed Yes | 9c | 581.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 574.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 8c | 566.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed No | 65c | 565.89$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…f99fbacked Yes | 35c | 560.29$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…0c7dbacked Yes | 6c | 518.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 64c | 502.53$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…a203backed Yes | 6c | 501.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f8…b80dbacked Yes | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 9c | 481.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 3c | 478.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…c310backed Yes | 33c | 471.08$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Yes | 11c | 460$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +431.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 4c | 450.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…cec0backed Yes | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…2582backed Yes | 12c | 446.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…5bb4backed Yes | 13c | 433.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…42a9backed No | 66c | 430.46$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 24c | 423.58$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…9387backed Yes | 35c | 419.18$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.71 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…1042backed Yes | 24c | 410.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…ed36backed Yes | 26c | 383.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 6c | 363.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 32cpaid | +178.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 6c | 350.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +251.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8317…18e3backed Yes | 13c | 349.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed Yes | 8c | 337.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed No | 66c | 323$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…de3ebacked Yes | 10c | 311.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +229%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 5c | 309.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 309$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 18c | 298.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…4424backed Yes | 25c | 280.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…6cf2backed Yes | 27c | 276.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…e5c2backed Yes | 7c | 272.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…f957backed Yes | 7c | 272$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b3…6796backed Yes | 7c | 270.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x643b…932ebacked Yes | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…f681backed Yes | 6c | 266.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?this page
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.