Boxing · resolved market
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b029a30ea36c6d4393d94243938b2c4f4a221ad471f3553c8bc8f34e9b229e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,833,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,299,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,833,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 7c | 152,464$11,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,262.3 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9604…fc1dbacked No | 2c | 130,929$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked No | 2c | 108,237$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…0622backed No | 3c | 54,327$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 10c | 37,421$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 0c | 35,111$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed No | 2c | 34,208$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 32,347$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.8 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed No | 3c | 31,795$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +187.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 4c | 28,807$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.74 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 3c | 27,796$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 26,785$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.4 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed No | 9c | 25,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 4c | 21,758$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…3b1ebacked No | 10c | 20,155$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +314.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 6c | 17,500$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed No | 4c | 13,290$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 2c | 12,895$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.31 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa881…cd20backed No | 0c | 12,326$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 1cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…19aebacked No | 10c | 11,550$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 3c | 10,934$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.63 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…b99cbacked No | 1c | 10,663$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +209.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b19…98f5backed No | 4c | 10,660$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 9c | 10,380$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc74…ed10backed No | 11c | 10,024$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaae…4da8backed No | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e7d9backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…4e69backed No | 2c | 9,820$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 2c | 9,088$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.14 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…8143backed No | 3c | 8,668$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +295.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 4c | 8,074$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…bb48backed No | 4c | 8,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 9c | 8,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 3c | 7,491$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.79 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97f…0d78backed No | 1c | 6,713$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc8…cd76backed No | 3c | 6,667$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…edc5backed No | 2c | 6,519$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed No | 2c | 6,147$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 4c | 6,033$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…f064backed No | 3c | 5,932$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.69 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 5c | 5,760$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b0…0c92backed No | 2c | 5,217$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 1c | 5,100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f3…38c9backed No | 4c | 5,021$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 4c | 5,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 4c | 5,000$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 8c | 4,682$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed No | 4c | 4,473$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…bc6dbacked No | 2c | 4,354$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 3c | 4,277$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 3c | 4,266$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…4030backed No | 8c | 4,056$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed No | 2c | 3,630$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0e…869ebacked No | 11c | 3,582$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…302dbacked No | 3c | 3,500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556e…b272backed No | 2c | 3,266$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…a777backed No | 3c | 3,204$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked No | 2c | 3,101$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed No | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…60f9backed No | 2c | 2,956$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed No | 9c | 2,930$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2183…2d92backed No | 2c | 2,890$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…a2cdbacked No | 2c | 2,875$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…0558backed No | 3c | 2,865$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…df33backed No | 3c | 2,862$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…a6d7backed No | 2c | 2,818$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d02…8adcbacked No | 2c | 2,806$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7d…8d45backed No | 3c | 2,776$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…9e69backed No | 3c | 2,769$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf75…aa9cbacked No | 3c | 2,761$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a9…98c7backed No | 3c | 2,719$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9511…c544backed No | 3c | 2,655$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a37…72e6backed No | 2c | 2,649$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e15…56e1backed No | 5c | 2,643$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 2c | 2,643$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…0204backed No | 3c | 2,636$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…0b42backed No | 4c | 2,632$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…af2dbacked No | 2c | 2,602$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 3c | 2,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 2c | 2,474$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fd…8ebabacked No | 3c | 2,460$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd835…068fbacked No | 4c | 2,454$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa155…8bedbacked No | 3c | 2,449$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…a8cdbacked No | 2c | 2,442$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked No | 9c | 2,400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…c0e3backed No | 3c | 2,342$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 5c | 2,337$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 6c | 2,178$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +111%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…816ebacked No | 5c | 2,083$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…269fbacked No | 5c | 2,083$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b7…42f6backed No | 3c | 2,069$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 6c | 2,020$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…c103backed No | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 15cpaid | +334.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…8d15backed No | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…56a5backed No | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…8fb8backed No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 7cpaid | +482.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?this page
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.