TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96f4…edc5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$9,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,879.99
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22,114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+107.9%+$23,859.26
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$421.62
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$2,750
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,338Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$2,076.05
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78%+$8,234.15
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10,287Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+414%+$42,586.8
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$740
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$400
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$492.58
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$267.76
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$331.86
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,679Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,679.15
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$483.54
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,060
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$7,500
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,702.77
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$5,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,266.85
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.61
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,237.5
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$2,905.41
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,735Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,735
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$695.38
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$23.05
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$113.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.