AI · resolved market
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ddffdae2038a1f68fa3a1ef927ff832825eb83f6eccd5d78f4830c44c586daf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,460,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,475,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,460,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 1c | 265,550$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.66 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 210,511$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.35 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…142ebacked Yes | 1c | 124,533$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 0c | 85,640$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.39 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…29aebacked Yes | 0c | 73,810$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…6d47backed Yes | 1c | 53,128$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 2cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…2cfbbacked Yes | 1c | 46,446$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…e174backed Yes | 1c | 31,268$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 10.7%8 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…d1bdbacked Yes | 1c | 29,821$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 29,479$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.25 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 24,473$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…edc5backed Yes | 0c | 20,140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 0c | 20,081$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5170backed Yes | 1c | 19,842$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb7…f680backed Yes | 1c | 18,995$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3be…f3adbacked Yes | 1c | 18,890$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…4c5cbacked Yes | 1c | 16,337$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…81bfbacked Yes | 3c | 16,314$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.23 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb201…a522backed Yes | 1c | 16,165$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…62e6backed Yes | 0c | 16,142$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6543…ecbabacked Yes | 1c | 15,893$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…42d6backed Yes | 1c | 14,988$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 0c | 14,941$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 0c | 14,245$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 14,244$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438b…1f72backed Yes | 1c | 14,094$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…7c10backed Yes | 1c | 13,397$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.46 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd06…4f1bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,745$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014e…5e58backed Yes | 2c | 11,454$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…6c65backed Yes | 1c | 11,290$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…da58backed Yes | 0c | 10,999$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…80cebacked Yes | 1c | 10,777$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 10,299$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c40…445cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,072$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,968$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4822…4fa7backed Yes | 4c | 9,691$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,094$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…8019backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…84aebacked Yes | 0c | 8,804$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 1c | 8,672$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 8,488$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 8,433$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f63…b385backed Yes | 1c | 8,356$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…51f5backed Yes | 0c | 8,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c1…a397backed Yes | 1c | 7,918$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…4cbdbacked Yes | 0c | 7,806$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 2c | 7,789$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 2c | 7,588$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…9c73backed Yes | 1c | 7,146$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…78e9backed Yes | 2c | 6,653$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 0c | 5,955$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…ab0ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,616$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0d8dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,548$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x728b…fd3ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,524$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,134$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…4a81backed Yes | 0c | 5,099$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…9074backed Yes | 1c | 5,057$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04a…046abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed Yes | 1c | 4,906$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…ae3cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,896$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…05babacked Yes | 1c | 4,838$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…086fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,770$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…16b1backed Yes | 1c | 4,768$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e1…f3dfbacked Yes | 1c | 4,721$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…1dc5backed Yes | 0c | 4,660$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…e760backed Yes | 0c | 4,660$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…5736backed Yes | 0c | 4,646$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…0d70backed Yes | 0c | 4,646$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9072…cc39backed Yes | 0c | 4,640$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…7af9backed Yes | 0c | 4,640$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a76…05fabacked Yes | 0c | 4,603$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…498fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,603$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe4…4beabacked Yes | 0c | 4,586$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…addbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,574$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…b8c6backed Yes | 1c | 4,553$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…2febbacked Yes | 0c | 4,309$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb32…bbccbacked Yes | 2c | 4,282$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…366bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,175$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…b707backed Yes | 1c | 4,067$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…a5b9backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…e4efbacked Yes | 1c | 3,911$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…71e7backed Yes | 0c | 3,882$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 3,805$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 3,700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 3,639$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98b…c7ffbacked Yes | 1c | 3,636$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 0c | 3,630$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…a438backed Yes | 0c | 3,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…f7b1backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 3,400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf081…10d3backed Yes | 2c | 3,366$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b3…5d8abacked Yes | 2c | 3,358$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,205$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…c300backed Yes | 3c | 3,188$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed2…bb52backed Yes | 2c | 3,141$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1249…39edbacked Yes | 2c | 3,128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 3,075$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…9501backed Yes | 1c | 3,035$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.