AI · resolved market
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3192d8e0d319091384dafe526e42ba0ba48e127b4424522429a0c75df712beee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,675,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,107,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,675,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 1c | 270,651$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.26 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 1c | 215,150$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.96 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 88,643$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.77 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 65,313$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.05 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 41,499$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…e8e6backed Yes | 1c | 36,744$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…056cbacked Yes | 2c | 36,218$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.77 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…81bfbacked Yes | 3c | 34,605$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.87 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 34,277$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.16 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 4c | 32,914$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.02 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…7c10backed Yes | 1c | 31,627$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…2e44backed Yes | 3c | 30,999$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e06…710fbacked Yes | 5c | 29,018$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked Yes | 1c | 28,121$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.13 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 2c | 26,203$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.32 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…abd7backed Yes | 3c | 20,391$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.64 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 1c | 20,095$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 10.7%8 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…effabacked Yes | 3c | 17,093$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…4a62backed Yes | 4c | 15,539$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.48 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed Yes | 1c | 14,865$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…1ef4backed Yes | 2c | 14,776$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +260.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa489…cae0backed Yes | 1c | 14,304$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 1c | 14,163$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.47 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 5c | 13,492$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.65 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f2…b94ebacked Yes | 1c | 12,608$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd94e…7d02backed Yes | 2c | 12,550$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…fad9backed Yes | 16c | 12,397$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 2c | 11,426$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.61 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…e1e2backed Yes | 2c | 11,361$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 11,209$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.27 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…da58backed Yes | 1c | 11,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 1c | 10,996$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…0b9abacked Yes | 1c | 10,961$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 10,784$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb32…bbccbacked Yes | 8c | 10,270$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 1c | 10,123$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa043…3e9ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…39c1backed Yes | 10c | 9,953$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 2c | 9,699$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 9,537$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.21 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1f…1c2abacked Yes | 2c | 9,452$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…dc47backed Yes | 6c | 8,852$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…72fabacked Yes | 1c | 8,846$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1a…6c60backed Yes | 1c | 8,254$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,918$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.71 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,798$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…ebb3backed Yes | 3c | 7,609$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…ab2ebacked Yes | 4c | 7,600$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 7,535$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yes | 2c | 7,349$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,255$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 1c | 6,965$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…5033backed Yes | 1c | 6,845$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 4c | 6,437$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.92 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 6,413$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.3 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 2c | 6,400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 2c | 6,285$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Yes | 4c | 6,282$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 6,170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 1c | 6,155$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…4c5cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,088$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 4c | 5,829$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.84 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,555$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 4c | 5,465$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.98 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…07acbacked Yes | 2c | 5,282$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 1c | 5,110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2670…fd0abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…0e31backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,953$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.69 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 4,790$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.39 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…569bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,614$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…10cbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,480$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +140%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05af…72f1backed Yes | 3c | 4,474$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 3cpaid | +438.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…8618backed Yes | 2c | 4,215$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…aa5bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,133$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…142ebacked Yes | 7c | 4,022$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…fea1backed Yes | 1c | 3,820$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…1e93backed Yes | 1c | 3,774$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…c419backed Yes | 1c | 3,747$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +159%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…d6fabacked Yes | 2c | 3,697$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…a338backed Yes | 1c | 3,643$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…9501backed Yes | 1c | 3,529$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…44fbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,449$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…0dfabacked Yes | 2c | 3,397$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +587.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 3,298$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…8fe1backed Yes | 2c | 3,195$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…fc66backed Yes | 1c | 3,168$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…25f8backed Yes | 2c | 3,117$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Yes | 1c | 3,091$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…d87fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…a5ecbacked Yes | 2c | 2,895$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8347…edb7backed Yes | 7c | 2,800$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.