AI · resolved market
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6995678ed5f481941cc4de37512cfe77b1b20e6fd9ba35e284360061d2687d8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,148,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,260,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,148,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 16c | 340,128$54,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,147.5 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 77c | 267,238$204,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,663.25 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 19c | 95,194$18,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,286.24 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa691…7e09backed Yes | 9c | 85,265$8,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,024.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…2558backed Yes | 30c | 72,916$22,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,051.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 27c | 70,500$19,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,372.73 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 12c | 58,248$6,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,942.91 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 21c | 56,778$11,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,858.57 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 11c | 54,060$5,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,741.06 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked Yes | 48c | 52,277$24,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,985.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…ba88backed Yes | 19c | 51,515$9,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,966.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +189.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 10c | 49,748$5,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,213.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4822…4fa7backed Yes | 13c | 48,292$6,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,297 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 9c | 44,276$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.73 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…29aebacked Yes | 15c | 37,585$5,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,510.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 3c | 36,181$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.4 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 29c | 32,732$9,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,516.49 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 12c | 31,299$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed Yes | 30c | 31,000$9,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,198.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…d07cbacked Yes | 11c | 28,697$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +281.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked Yes | 26c | 27,276$7,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,019.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 13c | 26,148$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.64 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 25,911$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.15 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 18c | 25,140$4,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,611.1 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 22,699$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…42d6backed Yes | 18c | 22,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020.02 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…bf2ebacked Yes | 6c | 21,788$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 76c | 21,571$16,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,434.66 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed No | 73c | 20,767$15,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,673.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…056cbacked Yes | 32c | 19,814$6,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,328.47 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 25c | 19,366$4,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,878.22 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 18,335$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.23 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…6fb0backed Yes | 40c | 18,133$7,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,328.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 17c | 17,673$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…44fabacked Yes | 21c | 17,583$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…60afbacked No | 64c | 16,767$10,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,977.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 33c | 16,525$5,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,417.15 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b6…5de0backed Yes | 11c | 16,423$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…abd7backed No | 10c | 15,984$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,373.25 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 11c | 15,541$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.13 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728b…fd3ebacked Yes | 21c | 15,538$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.26 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…2760backed Yes | 16c | 15,201$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Yes | 28c | 15,104$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,236.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…5a0ebacked No | 75c | 15,041$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740.59 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 14,970$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.34 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…a73ebacked Yes | 4c | 14,319$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 28c | 13,801$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.45 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 22c | 13,777$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.29 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…8e90backed Yes | 24c | 13,718$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…14f0backed Yes | 28c | 13,300$3,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 23c | 13,045$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.7 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…a408backed Yes | 15c | 12,393$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…2c4ebacked Yes | 34c | 12,236$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…7c10backed Yes | 27c | 12,225$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 24c | 12,174$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.91 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…da58backed Yes | 4c | 10,921$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,911$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.03 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed No | 33c | 10,784$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,216 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 32c | 10,595$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 9c | 10,576$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,669.76 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 21c | 10,517$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed No | 75c | 10,504$7,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked Yes | 41c | 10,457$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.69 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2a…259cbacked Yes | 2c | 10,446$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…4cb3backed Yes | 1c | 10,434$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe6…b39ebacked No | 80c | 10,338$8,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.87 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…8c8ebacked Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…d6e7backed Yes | 23c | 9,674$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.2 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 78c | 9,527$7,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 15c | 9,089$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed No | 10c | 8,529$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,697.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,485.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81ca…3b87backed No | 12c | 8,466$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,466.12 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…ffa3backed Yes | 24c | 8,195$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.03 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 24c | 8,000$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88eb…aababacked Yes | 27c | 7,821$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…edf0backed Yes | 29c | 7,756$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 26c | 7,629$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.87 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…9501backed Yes | 14c | 7,484$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.89 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 75c | 7,204$5,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.92 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…3741backed Yes | 10c | 7,168$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.84 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 7,107$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.68 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked Yes | 10c | 7,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed No | 73c | 6,575$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…1196backed Yes | 4c | 6,474$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1f…1c2abacked Yes | 21c | 6,399$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…14fdbacked No | 79c | 6,382$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b63…1147backed Yes | 16c | 6,358$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…4b1fbacked No | 80c | 6,204$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…0e31backed Yes | 17c | 6,159$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed Yes | 13c | 6,076$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a7…6e9bbacked Yes | 27c | 6,075$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9d1fbacked Yes | 13c | 6,037$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…e1e2backed Yes | 13c | 6,027$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…ccd9backed Yes | 10c | 6,000$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8500…3988backed Yes | 9c | 5,919$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed No | 79c | 5,750$4,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked No | 14c | 5,590$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 22c | 5,555$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 41c | 5,519$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.