AI · resolved market
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8ce0003ad658f06891e30bea1da4ad188884cdd933367099c8d121ea671bbd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,123,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,246,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,123,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 1c | 401,065$5,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,491.17 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 181,209$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.39 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…abd7backed Yes | 2c | 135,090$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.34 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…e6f0backed Yes | 3c | 73,401$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…0e9bbacked Yes | 2c | 71,533$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 65,925$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.96 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5170backed Yes | 0c | 53,941$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8500…3988backed Yes | 4c | 53,827$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 52,574$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.08 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 52,189$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.23 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 2c | 51,530$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.15 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…056cbacked Yes | 3c | 46,774$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.99 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Yes | 3c | 46,219$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 3c | 35,368$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.43 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d80…c953backed Yes | 4c | 35,000$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…72fabacked Yes | 1c | 33,843$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.32 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 32,886$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.25 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 10.7%8 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…5f43backed Yes | 2c | 26,639$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 23,030$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.33 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 3c | 22,995$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.64 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…ccd9backed Yes | 1c | 21,876$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…7c10backed Yes | 2c | 20,781$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.61 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 3c | 15,284$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.96 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Yes | 2c | 15,096$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc772…9be7backed Yes | 5c | 14,861$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 1c | 14,389$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.86 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfb…c274backed Yes | 2c | 13,749$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 2c | 13,460$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04a…2851backed Yes | 1c | 13,368$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…1ef4backed Yes | 2c | 12,392$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +260.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 1c | 12,299$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.62 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…5400backed Yes | 1c | 12,060$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…d678backed Yes | 2c | 11,849$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 11,466$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.15 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…da58backed Yes | 0c | 10,995$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…f9dabacked Yes | 0c | 10,463$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 3c | 10,076$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.53 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…8fe1backed Yes | 2c | 10,056$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 1c | 10,038$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked Yes | 4c | 10,027$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 2c | 9,018$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,980$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…0b0cbacked Yes | 2c | 8,769$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 2c | 8,478$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed Yes | 3c | 8,000$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…142ebacked Yes | 6c | 7,962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,919$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.91 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 2c | 7,782$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…e8e6backed Yes | 3c | 7,534$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 3c | 7,500$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.04 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…a338backed Yes | 5c | 7,384$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 7,306$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.24 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 6,599$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…1c59backed Yes | 2c | 6,296$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 6,219$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.73 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 5,880$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cc…1733backed Yes | 2c | 5,879$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 3c | 5,636$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.94 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,507$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 3c | 5,491$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.37 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 3c | 5,438$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 5,385$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.46 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,374$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a2…510bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,225$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…fad9backed Yes | 3c | 5,044$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2670…fd0abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04a…046abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked Yes | 2c | 4,978$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 3c | 4,900$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.13 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…bb28backed Yes | 10c | 4,749$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed Yes | 2c | 4,645$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a2…6abebacked Yes | 2c | 4,563$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 4,446$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a7…02febacked Yes | 6c | 4,445$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa919…9bb4backed Yes | 1c | 4,360$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f86…fea9backed Yes | 4c | 4,333$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,319$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…e174backed Yes | 1c | 4,283$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…a438backed Yes | 1c | 3,840$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 1c | 3,500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7f…6a3abacked Yes | 9c | 3,479$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…d07cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,455$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +281.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed Yes | 6c | 3,354$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…d6e7backed Yes | 3c | 3,336$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…e1e2backed Yes | 2c | 3,282$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed Yes | 1c | 3,189$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 3,146$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 1c | 3,107$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3281…922bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,094$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…1a2dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,892$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…e12cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,813$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…4682backed Yes | 2c | 2,681$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebb…79bcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,585$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.