TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$671,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $671,006 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked TheMongolz31c130,000$40,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,299.9139249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6a…5b18backed TheMongolz31c104,432$32,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,685.15825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed MOUZ68c73,478$49,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,512.822049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ71c60,953$43,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,736.1383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ71c47,313$33,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,686.4921048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked MOUZ69c40,000$27,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,4007147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34e4…6299backed MOUZ71c23,000$16,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,670666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed MOUZ69c21,201$14,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,572.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed MOUZ70c19,000$13,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,629.9735153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed MOUZ68c18,172$12,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,744.6925842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x355d…65e0backed TheMongolz31c16,034$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed TheMongolz29c15,762$4,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,522.3737946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f28…9291backed MOUZ69c15,002$10,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,650.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed TheMongolz31c14,650$4,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,471.4919645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed TheMongolz31c11,536$3,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,570.7939239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed TheMongolz31c11,249$3,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,463.35848.3%28 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz30c11,000$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2701,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked TheMongolz39c10,298$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed TheMongolz30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed MOUZ70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00029858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed MOUZ69c9,994$6,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,144.146450%32 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz30c8,564$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.371,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed MOUZ69c7,900$5,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.993953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed MOUZ74c7,736$5,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.784045%18 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ61c7,592$4,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.9775450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked MOUZ68c7,348$5,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.1112449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked MOUZ69c7,246$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.371464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz12c7,157$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.43,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed MOUZ69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked MOUZ68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92014934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked MOUZ71c5,669$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.128951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed TheMongolz29c5,565$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.8524846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed MOUZ69c5,068$3,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.3971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked TheMongolz23c5,054$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.981,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed MOUZ68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60012441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked TheMongolz32c4,710$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.320539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b9…133ebacked TheMongolz30c4,483$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked TheMongolz23c4,472$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.7432930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed TheMongolz20c4,301$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.9661837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked TheMongolz31c3,939$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.048444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed MOUZ69c3,905$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.2225251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed TheMongolz30c3,689$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.525147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ74c3,666$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.0542142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71dd…31ebbacked TheMongolz28c3,632$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.182075%15 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+63.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed TheMongolz6c3,331$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.123928.2%11 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ67c3,312$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.184958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdd1…77f2backed MOUZ68c3,210$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed MOUZ67c3,150$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.411252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed TheMongolz32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8918…8f42backed TheMongolz6c2,998$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked MOUZ67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.0723952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed TheMongolz31c2,900$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89910252%53 W · 49 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed TheMongolz32c2,808$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.421,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ64c2,754$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.4684454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…0055backed TheMongolz4c2,379$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5317847.8%85 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed MOUZ78c2,295$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.956858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed TheMongolz29c2,268$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.4956732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed TheMongolz32c2,186$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.722448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed MOUZ69c2,120$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.1536554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz28c2,076$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.93,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz23c2,000$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.64,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6202,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed MOUZ69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.011,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed TheMongolz17c2,000$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.717840.4%72 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed MOUZ69c1,940$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.48847.7%42 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed TheMongolz36c1,803$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64920944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed TheMongolz28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed TheMongolz29c1,725$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.8785446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked TheMongolz7c1,544$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9247738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed TheMongolz31c1,478$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.8754032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed TheMongolz15c1,476$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1953746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fd…40ebbacked TheMongolz29c1,475$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4281533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1814…eb8abacked TheMongolz24c1,441$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.871225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-61.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked TheMongolz3c1,305$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1929127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked TheMongolz30c1,269$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.917832.1%25 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd1…4244backed TheMongolz3c1,258$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.03742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ70c1,237$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.178639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed TheMongolz32c1,200$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9546345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed TheMongolz34c1,191$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.726237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aff…9200backed TheMongolz29c1,178$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.514440.9%18 W · 26 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked TheMongolz26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ70c1,142$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc093…de0ebacked TheMongolz30c1,123$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.838447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed TheMongolz31c1,115$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9134146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz5c1,101$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.585,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed TheMongolz14c1,094$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7838844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked TheMongolz28c1,072$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2665…cf18backed TheMongolz1c1,058$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked TheMongolz30c1,050$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9917148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed TheMongolz31c1,015$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.655044%22 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked TheMongolz32c1,006$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3229258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked MOUZ67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33034943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332f…1ee8backed TheMongolz29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed TheMongolz12c999.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1167755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked TheMongolz10c999.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9666034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed TheMongolz5c999.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.979723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b97…4d93backed TheMongolz29c960.6$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.188151.9%42 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed TheMongolz30c944.65$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.187244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.