CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e408e9a0e6f670a997a7f8c542dd3d5aa066167454bf2b858ca2f396e953e0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,800 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 24c | 3,412$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.42 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 71c | 1,512$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.84 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 34c | 1,262$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.41 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 32c | 944$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.61 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 583.3$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.32 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Over | 45c | 513.55$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.1 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Over | 3c | 489.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 55c | 464.81$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.26 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb894…0247backed Over | 44c | 434$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 71c | 418.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…f424backed Over | 44c | 358$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…9446backed Over | 32c | 344$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21a…c5a4backed Over | 44c | 338$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710f…9251backed Under | 56c | 337$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…580ebacked Under | 56c | 324$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7d…9b86backed Over | 44c | 306$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 40c | 278.6$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…1bfabacked Under | 56c | 278$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…f990backed Under | 68c | 267$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5beb…eb12backed Under | 56c | 264$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 259.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…07f5backed Under | 61c | 248.64$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…67b2backed Under | 56c | 248$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…6cf0backed Over | 32c | 239$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…5cf1backed Over | 44c | 239$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…bbf4backed Under | 56c | 224$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed Under | 57c | 213.88$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 204 | 45.6%93 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 71c | 210.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Under | 57c | 201.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 18c | 190.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…e7afbacked Over | 17c | 161.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…af25backed Under | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 72c | 158.73$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…1658backed Under | 68c | 157$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Over | 46c | 155.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 10c | 132.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 57c | 75.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 54c | 64.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f0…fff4backed Over | 45c | 64.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…de3bbacked Over | 44c | 62.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 57c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Under | 68c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 26c | 38.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed Under | 79c | 33.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Under | 63c | 29.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Over | 43c | 29.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.