CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2f6be84a89e3fe406ebd595e4f0e8f12a3ed60e8c338c5bd7e1eefdf4b61538
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,169 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed TheMongolz | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.99 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ | 39c | 1,423$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.08 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,151$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.83 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed TheMongolz | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 42c | 913.73$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.55 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked TheMongolz | 59c | 887.97$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.9 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed MOUZ | 40c | 877.59$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.19 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed MOUZ | 41c | 730.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.28 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed TheMongolz | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed TheMongolz | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed MOUZ | 41c | 482$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked MOUZ | 59c | 425.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.53 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…db6abacked MOUZ | 33c | 417$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed TheMongolz | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed TheMongolz | 60c | 334.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…3d36backed MOUZ | 32c | 304$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +162.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…3c75backed TheMongolz | 68c | 259$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e8…93a4backed TheMongolz | 68c | 242$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed MOUZ | 51c | 235.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6850…9aa9backed MOUZ | 32c | 222$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…46f0backed TheMongolz | 67c | 220$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 40c | 212.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…24a4backed TheMongolz | 67c | 197$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…3778backed TheMongolz | 68c | 195$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…4fc8backed TheMongolz | 68c | 185$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…4e59backed MOUZ | 32c | 179$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…a7f6backed MOUZ | 32c | 176$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ | 40c | 155.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed TheMongolz | 59c | 134.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked TheMongolz | 56c | 119.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed MOUZ | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed TheMongolz | 60c | 114$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc7…3778backed MOUZ | 47c | 82.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed TheMongolz | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked MOUZ | 65c | 65.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed TheMongolz | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed TheMongolz | 58c | 56.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…0497backed MOUZ | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed TheMongolz | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed MOUZ | 45c | 32.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d1…6288backed TheMongolz | 61c | 29.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed TheMongolz | 47c | 24.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked MOUZ | 46c | 23.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked MOUZ | 68c | 23.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.