CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fa0b5a32df59861716cd10fa0c91bf7a063f3bf1756db68a9d2e94c6d7124fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,749 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz | 22c | 3,248$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.62 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ | 58c | 2,917$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.29 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 2,658$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.17 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz | 31c | 2,397$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.92 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ | 72c | 1,989$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed TheMongolz | 29c | 1,709$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 72c | 1,641$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.55 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed TheMongolz | 42c | 1,430$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ | 65c | 944.07$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.26 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked TheMongolz | 13c | 922$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.09 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked TheMongolz | 15c | 804$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed MOUZ | 77c | 795.34$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.76 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed TheMongolz | 43c | 658.8$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.28 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 76c | 645.25$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.89 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed TheMongolz | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe902…eda4backed MOUZ | 61c | 501.64$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.64 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed MOUZ | 68c | 438.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 435.71$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 402.78$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked TheMongolz | 20c | 394.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked TheMongolz | 3c | 355.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 40c | 294.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 16c | 285$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TheMongolz | 4c | 276.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…5bb5backed TheMongolz | 5c | 201$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…025abacked TheMongolz | 37c | 193.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed TheMongolz | 29c | 190$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed TheMongolz | 28c | 164.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed MOUZ | 69c | 160.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed TheMongolz | 20c | 111.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked TheMongolz | 41c | 105.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked MOUZ | 69c | 102.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed MOUZ | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked TheMongolz | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed TheMongolz | 29c | 94.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed TheMongolz | 27c | 73.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed TheMongolz | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed MOUZ | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TheMongolz | 30c | 52.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed TheMongolz | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed TheMongolz | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed MOUZ | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked MOUZ | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed TheMongolz | 39c | 32.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked TheMongolz | 39c | 31.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed MOUZ | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked MOUZ | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed MOUZ | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed MOUZ | 64c | 16.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.