CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffcb4163b7ce1710b7b072454be0b6a3e29704f17a7d2a2cc650a13d8163305d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $743,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $743,738 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked B8 | 34c | 219,999$74,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,899.82 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 114,516$74,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,080.71 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…5b18backed B8 | 30c | 100,522$29,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,822.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 98,045$69,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,536.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed B8 | 31c | 43,505$13,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,670.41 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed B8 | 17c | 28,643$4,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,938.55 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked B8 | 26c | 19,199$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,030.09 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…9291backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 16,530$10,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,620.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 16,000$11,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.99 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed B8 | 28c | 14,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 11,800$7,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 10,548$6,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.83 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked B8 | 34c | 9,999$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.66 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed B8 | 15c | 9,624$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.08 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…ccb1backed B8 | 35c | 8,051$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.27 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 8,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 7,596$5,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.64 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 7,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.97 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 6,715$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.78 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 6,009$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.24 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 5,970$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.15 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…b013backed B8 | 18c | 5,529$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 5,461$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.65 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked B8 | 1c | 5,100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed B8 | 25c | 5,037$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.63 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 4,545$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.47 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 4,531$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.71 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 4,500$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.25 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 4,414$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.82 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 4,379$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.98 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked B8 | 31c | 4,327$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.76 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked B8 | 24c | 4,310$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.39 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 4,187$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.58 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 3,799$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.58 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 3,390$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.91 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 3,200$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked B8 | 33c | 3,090$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 3,089$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.56 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed B8 | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.86 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed B8 | 30c | 2,750$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.34 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…2fe8backed B8 | 35c | 2,676$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.69 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked B8 | 10c | 2,518$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.79 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed B8 | 32c | 2,045$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.81 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,977$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed B8 | 31c | 1,965$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.78 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…9372backed B8 | 2c | 1,683$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,568$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.63 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c0…5930backed B8 | 15c | 1,538$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,500$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.83 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked B8 | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.98 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,464$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.29 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed B8 | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…5270backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,405$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.75 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked B8 | 22c | 1,336$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.86 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed B8 | 13c | 1,318$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…14a5backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,233$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.88 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…a925backed B8 | 3c | 1,200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed B8 | 2c | 1,175$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked B8 | 20c | 1,011$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.25 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked B8 | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed B8 | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.85 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 992.64$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.64 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed B8 | 35c | 948.76$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.51 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 909.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.22 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 909.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed B8 | 16c | 893.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…bb56backed B8 | 34c | 882.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 859.65$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.65 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 842.32$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.32 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…67b5backed B8 | 15c | 841.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked B8 | 37c | 836.35$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.65 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 825.98$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.64 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked B8 | 34c | 804.92$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed B8 | 20c | 800.57$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed B8 | 22c | 796.58$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 785.24$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.13 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 757.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 757.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.57 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 757$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 756.21$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.21 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 749.4$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.27 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 746.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.59 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 737.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.89 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 704.83$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.49 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…1e93backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…1249backed B8 | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…5476backed B8 | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 639.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.48 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a2…3901backed B8 | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.