CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4dc6f52d78452117569ac1b8ab73a2229e355cde17650a93e4bf6530aafcd46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $416,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,513 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed B8 | 30c | 19,964$5,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,982.27 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed B8 | 73c | 16,051$11,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,693.46 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 14,913$8,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,805.02 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 8,515$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.99 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 8,221$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,763.47 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 7,888$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.55 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 7,585$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.76 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 6,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.59 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked B8 | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 4,657$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.98 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 3,790$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.19 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 3,400$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.66 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked B8 | 50c | 3,100$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…e053backed B8 | 3c | 3,022$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked B8 | 44c | 3,006$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.65 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 2,930$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.14 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed B8 | 27c | 2,631$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.63 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,487$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.8 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,351$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.22 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed B8 | 1c | 2,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed B8 | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,955$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.19 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,750$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.48 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5d…df40backed B8 | 2c | 1,700$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked B8 | 28c | 1,670$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…5a0fbacked B8 | 39c | 1,669$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,648$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.56 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…f97bbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,608$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.4 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,600$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.15 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked B8 | 23c | 1,591$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.31 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked B8 | 59c | 1,535$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.55 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,487$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.73 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70f…5de7backed B8 | 5c | 1,403$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,400$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.9 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed B8 | 43c | 1,397$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed B8 | 15c | 1,300$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…7056backed B8 | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.91 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,174$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.69 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked B8 | 57c | 1,105$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.95 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 1,100$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked B8 | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…8dd1backed B8 | 53c | 1,050$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,046$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.73 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,023$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed B8 | 44c | 1,023$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.08 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed B8 | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed B8 | 54c | 929$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.25 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed B8 | 61c | 900$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked B8 | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed B8 | 16c | 776.91$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 708.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.04 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked B8 | 43c | 674.33$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.96 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 642.66$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.03 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 614.24$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.8 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 606.7$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.71 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed B8 | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked B8 | 47c | 516.08$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 492.38$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.69 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 480$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed B8 | 43c | 442.32$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked B8 | 15c | 441.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +13.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 433.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 | 48c | 405$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.52 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 404.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.9 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed B8 | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked B8 | 73c | 398.92$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 361.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked B8 | 53c | 350$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.2 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 336.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…2eefbacked B8 | 46c | 329$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…9bbcbacked B8 | 43c | 313.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…47b9backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 313.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed B8 | 40c | 312$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…4addbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 307$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked B8 | 64c | 302.06$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed B8 | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 233 | 33%77 W · 156 L | -22.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 300$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf6…0d60backed B8 | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed B8 | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…5fecbacked B8 | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed B8 | 43c | 284$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked B8 | 45c | 282.74$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.64 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed B8 | 36c | 278.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…c042backed B8 | 10c | 270.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…202abacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 270.54$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…af25backed B8 | 46c | 262$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 261.71$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 250$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…935ebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 238$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed B8 | 26c | 237.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 237.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 229.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed B8 | 51c | 225$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…d7acbacked B8 | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.