CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62e8c2fcd8e37329c0923f0d4f18bb3f772d5c116cdc36945fe3a8a46f5a43e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,721 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6446…ec28backed Over | 66c | 3,303$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 62c | 1,390$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.74 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 1,300$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.88 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 73c | 1,259$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.11 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 67c | 1,210$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.86 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 72c | 785.62$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.68 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 53c | 664.19$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.17 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed Over | 47c | 639.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 38c | 541.44$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.05 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 61c | 442$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.42 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8033…85acbacked Over | 43c | 382$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 56c | 358.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.21 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…6719backed Under | 57c | 329$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Over | 14c | 328.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd080…0b70backed Under | 57c | 287$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 54c | 270$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.3 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 42c | 258$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.27 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…6382backed Under | 57c | 239$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237d…dbd4backed Over | 43c | 234$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 51c | 194.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 60c | 175.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 155.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 46c | 136.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 15c | 136.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 53c | 132.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fd…6081backed Over | 43c | 122$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…314ebacked Over | 43c | 117$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 52c | 103.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 99.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked Over | 35c | 85.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…eba3backed Over | 41c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Under | 73c | 55.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 32c | 44.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…baacbacked Under | 70c | 24.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…dbcfbacked Over | 46c | 23.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…8b98backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.