TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$253,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,895 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked B828c36,815$10,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,226.430726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed B833c24,865$8,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,228.094045%18 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked B834c18,088$6,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,154.3842440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Natus Vincere61c14,742$9,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.415760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere65c11,566$7,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,048.139256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Natus Vincere66c11,291$7,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,807.476858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere65c7,555$4,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.2545848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd72…8dd1backed B850c7,311$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6751050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked B814c6,719$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.3922927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere66c6,000$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,07046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere62c5,815$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.311,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere64c5,451$3,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.591,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55af…0715backed Natus Vincere78c5,106$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.331872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked B837c5,067$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.1459839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere74c4,760$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.843,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere65c4,590$3,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.192,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked B837c4,069$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.353,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked B835c3,630$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.525555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed B839c3,423$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.421,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere62c3,236$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.3188746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere65c3,129$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.492,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked B839c3,000$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.552,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Natus Vincere66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked B847c2,974$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.375245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere66c2,718$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.287,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Natus Vincere66c2,274$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.0916947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere69c2,087$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.921,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Natus Vincere64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.018050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere66c2,000$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68545058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed B835c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70024944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked Natus Vincere51c1,600$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.6110345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb08…06acbacked Natus Vincere58c1,587$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.878351.8%43 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed B848c1,500$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.054,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked B827c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked B836c1,459$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed B835c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed B823c1,289$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked B838c1,261$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.1915732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed B812c1,200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.281,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed B838c1,166$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.2181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere63c1,091$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.285,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere67c1,066$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.0346749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Natus Vincere52c1,035$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.8714144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b4…7056backed B840c865.2$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked B838c751$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.081,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a18…0808backed B835c738.74$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.553432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Natus Vincere68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2969635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere71c726.23$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.682,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Natus Vincere66c722.73$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.739258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked B831c717.66$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.617850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Natus Vincere67c716.42$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.428951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Natus Vincere44c699.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.996243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Natus Vincere67c684.3$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.825651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Natus Vincere39c664.86$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.45867.2%39 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked B834c655$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1847738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed B814c651.12$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3657322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Natus Vincere69c647.14$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.571,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere56c605.45$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2674,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba0…97bfbacked B89c599.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537647.4%36 W · 40 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+44.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked B835c574.29$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20135550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Natus Vincere63c551.67$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1219549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Natus Vincere54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23011852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Natus Vincere64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18013743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f35…ed78backed B835c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753458.8%20 W · 14 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+54.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Natus Vincere60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20053850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Natus Vincere66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17045455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaba0…62aabacked Natus Vincere65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752850%14 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe1…c364backed Natus Vincere66c494.44$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.112948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc70f…5de7backed B812c450.73$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2880%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Natus Vincere44c448.36$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.089050%45 W · 45 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf795…5e34backed B811c399.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Natus Vincere52c392.71$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7152947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Natus Vincere79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7528443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked B835c378.92$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6215053.3%80 W · 70 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc28f…9185backed Natus Vincere65c360$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263030%9 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x227f…405dbacked B835c360$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere64c346$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.561,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Natus Vincere66c333.33$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3318342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb30…5fecbacked B834c324.12$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.21250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Natus Vincere50c305.52$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6563541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed B846c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13835344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed B837c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere68c294.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5634156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed B834c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021137.4%79 W · 132 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed B810c291.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f43…843abacked Natus Vincere44c277.27$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2710236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked Natus Vincere60c273.56$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.857865.4%51 W · 27 L+13.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed B837c272.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007153.5%38 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eec…89babacked Natus Vincere66c269.27$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.423554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Natus Vincere67c261.31$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4840655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Natus Vincere68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8015142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Natus Vincere64c244.83$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8496543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Natus Vincere67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8823557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Natus Vincere77c209.13$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4838552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked Natus Vincere67c205.26$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7612348%59 W · 64 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf6…0d60backed Natus Vincere54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.112439.5%49 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7811…6e14backed Natus Vincere51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9816442.7%70 W · 94 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f41…a6c8backed Natus Vincere68c191$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.612673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed Natus Vincere66c189.39$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.39944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed Natus Vincere68c184.32$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3232561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.