CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb6de844139eac4e1008283cdcc4f22186af2c7b30d16c3cf79dea42c8c7e6e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,695 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked B8 | 58c | 894.57$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.85 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 887.71$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.87 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce89…3b19backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 747$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked B8 | 61c | 680.43$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.33 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed B8 | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 567.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.43 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked B8 | 60c | 446$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.6 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed B8 | 60c | 394.51$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.13 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 350$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…4506backed B8 | 59c | 313$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…0241backed B8 | 62c | 288$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…7e7fbacked B8 | 62c | 279$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…98cebacked B8 | 59c | 249$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f0…9abbbacked B8 | 62c | 246$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked B8 | 58c | 238.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…f266backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 238$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9a…5932backed B8 | 62c | 222$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146e…4362backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 222$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…4789backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 217$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…a046backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 210$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…0853backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 202$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…ab97backed B8 | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e2…9ff0backed B8 | 59c | 185$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked B8 | 65c | 154$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2297…8cdcbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 146$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 142.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked B8 | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed B8 | 58c | 140.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…18bfbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 136.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed B8 | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 75.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed B8 | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed B8 | 46c | 52.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…0497backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 39.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed B8 | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked B8 | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked B8 | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 27.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed B8 | 57c | 22.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked B8 | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.