Movies · resolved market
Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eb96af550ad975d8a06f452aa006c86a522b0eba1144376f4f81ef1470c5bd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,489 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96f4…edc5backed Yes | 1c | 30,762$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…49aabacked Yes | 5c | 8,825$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 6,106$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 5,226$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 4c | 2,798$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…16babacked Yes | 4c | 2,556$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -85%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,340$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 145 | 5.5%8 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 3c | 2,221$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd103…dc55backed Yes | 2c | 2,182$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bd…970fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,084$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed Yes | 3c | 1,728$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x894e…edfcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,723$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,711$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4e…6db1backed Yes | 2c | 1,259$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…aa14backed Yes | 2c | 1,136$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 1,052$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfc…6111backed Yes | 2c | 1,042$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked Yes | 1c | 1,003$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e50…c593backed Yes | 2c | 795.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…87d1backed Yes | 2c | 786.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 769.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 111 | 4.5%5 W · 106 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bc…8ce0backed Yes | 2c | 722.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713c…41bbbacked Yes | 3c | 699.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc2…f8aabacked Yes | 3c | 654.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…f8f9backed Yes | 3c | 618.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…af90backed Yes | 3c | 609.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 2c | 599.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…3673backed Yes | 3c | 571.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 554.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1419…6e6bbacked Yes | 5c | 397.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…917fbacked Yes | 3c | 387.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…1f4fbacked Yes | 3c | 385.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…4ef5backed Yes | 4c | 273.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Sirāt win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.