AI · resolved market
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x233044b6511c50096cc927d6c91073d320c4ef6e80b423b1d3b92a2c73b94818
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 36c | 5,543$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.28 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 11c | 2,788$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.22 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 1c | 2,346$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b5…b0a2backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 68c | 1,938$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 54c | 1,759$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.19 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 29c | 1,589$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.96 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 29c | 1,533$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.08 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0df…68d4backed Yes | 30c | 1,514$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed No | 47c | 1,445$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…1f93backed Yes | 49c | 1,356$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,096$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.15 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 70c | 926.44$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.95 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffcf…67b0backed Yes | 5c | 861.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed No | 71c | 848.86$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.56 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 68c | 740.98$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.9 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…edc5backed No | 63c | 721.06$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 720$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 2c | 712.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 681.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 642.99$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.72 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 10c | 571$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 564$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…8322backed Yes | 3c | 539.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…3e8ebacked No | 64c | 532.25$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 49c | 532$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.04 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 26c | 524.03$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.35 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 43c | 434.78$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.74 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 49c | 411.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 59c | 369.49$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.16 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 24c | 341.68$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 42c | 319.93$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.53 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…4d41backed Yes | 31c | 273.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 56c | 261.57$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Yes | 44c | 240$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 59c | 231.12$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 221.75$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…5f53backed Yes | 30c | 211.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 61c | 209.14$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…f6e9backed Yes | 41c | 205$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc3…cef6backed Yes | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…2ec9backed Yes | 54c | 185.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…da04backed No | 61c | 176.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 168.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 57c | 167.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 40c | 162.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…4e09backed No | 64c | 155.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…9fcfbacked No | 66c | 151.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…06e9backed No | 69c | 145.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 23c | 139.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d9…fa5bbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 69c | 128.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 64c | 124.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…9a97backed Yes | 36c | 121.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 66c | 114$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 60c | 113.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 20c | 113.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 58c | 107.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d0…264ebacked Yes | 45c | 106.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 59c | 103.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 77c | 100.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a3…c1e3backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes | 12c | 95.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 62c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 29c | 84.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 75c | 76.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 71c | 75.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 71c | 73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…ac15backed No | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…539abacked No | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…272fbacked No | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 54c | 61.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 58.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…4924backed No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…864bbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 47c | 48.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 66c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…fc8abacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 142 | 81%115 W · 27 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 59c | 40.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…300dbacked No | 54c | 40.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 54c | 40.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 69c | 39.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 61c | 34.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…864cbacked No | 63c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe2…b686backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 57c | 30.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 73c | 30.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed No | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?this page
- Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes won
- Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.