TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ffa…864c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.07
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$7.24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$58.37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.38
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$38.54
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$36.72
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$8.18
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$13.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$6.73
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$22.96
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+262.1%+$54.28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$15.47
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+167%+$32.52
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$11.37
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$14.01
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+55.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$88.29
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.41
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$26.38
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$266
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.4
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.5
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.43
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+528.9%+$162.89
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+115.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+100.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PARIVISION win DreamLeague Season 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Legacy win CS Asia Championships 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.