Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f20917fc1bd3cdbcbafc44508bcfa954a586c12123acbb2d25d64dd4722655e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 47c | 930.64$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.64 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 75c | 368.37$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.26 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 44c | 213.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 65c | 189.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 43c | 186.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 45c | 179.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 21c | 176.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 33c | 169.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 55c | 142.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 127$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…75f3backed Yes | 58c | 125.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 221 | 71%157 W · 64 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 43c | 121.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 47c | 116.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 60c | 115.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 40c | 114.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 18c | 109.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…485fbacked No | 54c | 93.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 14c | 91.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 55c | 90.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 89.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 37c | 86.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 79.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 39c | 74.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 55c | 67.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 48c | 65.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 52c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 42c | 62.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 57c | 62.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 51c | 60.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 36c | 56.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 53c | 56.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 54.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 54c | 51.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…d98abacked Yes | 78c | 50.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…864cbacked Yes | 77c | 48.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 40c | 46.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…154ebacked Yes | 39c | 38.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 54c | 36.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 40c | 36.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 53c | 36.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 64c | 35.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb1…9e38backed No | 57c | 35.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1b…4b83backed No | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 34.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed No | 43c | 34.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…f9c4backed No | 53c | 33.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 44c | 33.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…0171backed No | 61c | 30.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed Yes | 42c | 30.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26da…8999backed Yes | 47c | 28.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3286…1acdbacked No | 61c | 27.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 41c | 26.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 63c | 25.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 62c | 25.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 59c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0558…a8cdbacked No | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 118 | 67.8%80 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 60c | 22.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…19f8backed No | 54c | 20.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6b…280bbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…a323backed No | 60c | 19.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 62c | 19.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 58c | 17.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…ecd4backed Yes | 64c | 17.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 64c | 16.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.