World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c7b9e9d87b18ba20280b0f070878e44f833d306f4e7fcf8cd846585e217ea82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 51c | 1,155$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.98 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 45c | 1,153$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.16 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 35c | 651.12$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.89 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 49c | 556$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.55 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 47c | 473.09$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.61 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 57c | 464.95$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 11c | 438.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487b…f382backed Yes | 40c | 325.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 52c | 249.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 44c | 236.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…4e22backed Yes | 64c | 235.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 210.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 57c | 205.04$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 57c | 204.37$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 71c | 202.29$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.39 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 79c | 197.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 53c | 193.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 49c | 183.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed No | 58c | 172.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7084…7884backed No | 56c | 169.32$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…c1b2backed Yes | 43c | 167.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 28c | 158.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.58 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 50c | 158.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 63c | 157.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 40c | 152.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 37c | 151.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 57c | 150$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 47c | 149.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 50c | 145.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…0c2fbacked Yes | 35c | 143.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 141.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2072…5d40backed Yes | 51c | 131.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 129.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 39c | 125.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 69c | 124.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 52c | 124.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…cb94backed Yes | 38c | 124.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 29c | 120$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 63c | 119.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 56c | 113.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 47c | 105.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 36c | 104.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c5…c2c8backed Yes | 39c | 103.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 65c | 102$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…058dbacked No | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 64c | 89.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 64c | 86.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 57c | 85.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…9fa5backed Yes | 53c | 85.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 15c | 80.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 31c | 79.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 37c | 77.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 59c | 77.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…e269backed Yes | 64c | 75.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ad…c0f9backed Yes | 67c | 74.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…3561backed Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 42c | 69.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 61c | 68.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 67.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 48c | 66.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 46c | 65.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 36c | 65.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…b921backed No | 34c | 65.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 44c | 61.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked No | 35c | 60.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed No | 25c | 60.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…3b52backed Yes | 55c | 60.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7782…f35fbacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…ba19backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 60c | 58.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…8f33backed No | 61c | 58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…cc78backed No | 50c | 57.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 33c | 57.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…e084backed No | 61c | 56.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 55.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…8cfcbacked Yes | 39c | 54.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked No | 44c | 54.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 35c | 50.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…b5eebacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353f…1623backed Yes | 41c | 49.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…58b3backed No | 41c | 47.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 32c | 47.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 27c | 46.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on May 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.