World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c268b48c69de9e2cc5a0a95d7acbf838fa62c5fd07be00a27d2fa272a8e5e2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 4c | 2,130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 4c | 610.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 11c | 487.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 21c | 478.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 29c | 415.81$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 4c | 393.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 31c | 349.08$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 14c | 330.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 37c | 328.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 264$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 70c | 218.34$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 35c | 210$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed Yes | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 71c | 196.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 26c | 180.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 67c | 173.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 19c | 173.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 6c | 170.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 33c | 159$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 32c | 157.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 19c | 155.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…b2a7backed Yes | 38c | 154.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 11c | 149.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 64c | 139.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 137.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 132.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 69c | 131.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 13c | 124.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 11c | 124.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…3b52backed Yes | 34c | 112.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 73c | 111.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 77c | 109.65$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 109.37$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…8cfcbacked Yes | 31c | 109.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 31c | 106$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 28c | 101.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 31c | 100.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 68c | 91.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…aae2backed No | 73c | 82.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…c001backed Yes | 32c | 81.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 26c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed Yes | 32c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 31c | 79.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 26c | 76.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 68c | 74.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…9c56backed No | 69c | 72.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 26c | 69.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 64.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 22c | 61.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 65c | 61.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…c045backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 74c | 59.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 28c | 58.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…bd3bbacked Yes | 28c | 54.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…9b4ebacked Yes | 24c | 53.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 32c | 51.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 66c | 49.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…33c6backed Yes | 32c | 47.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 69c | 42.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 75c | 41.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…ecc1backed Yes | 29c | 39.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 73c | 33.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…e315backed No | 62c | 32.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked No | 70c | 31.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04c5…c2c8backed Yes | 32c | 31.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325e…5308backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…985abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…b921backed No | 65c | 30.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608a…966bbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…dcc7backed No | 70c | 28.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 72c | 25.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 53 | 83%44 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 71c | 25.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 69c | 23.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 79c | 23.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 63c | 23.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 186 | 69.4%129 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…7ef6backed No | 69c | 21.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 66c | 21.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 73c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 63c | 19.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 67c | 17.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 69c | 16.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…fa48backed No | 75c | 15.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 79c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…ef71backed No | 71c | 14.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on May 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.