TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x011f…1122backed Yes1c21,469$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.435111.8%6 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick12cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes42c3,197$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.5711522.6%26 W · 89 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No78c1,447$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.118237.4%68 W · 114 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes12c1,239$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2616544.2%73 W · 92 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No58c1,021$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.651233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes14c967.26$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.065747.4%27 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+69.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7bd6…10d4backed No71c745.95$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No56c736.99$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.286750.7%34 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…822abacked Yes41c706.08$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.81050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+75.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd509…d6b7backed No74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…0a7bbacked Yes26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes42c573$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.4710361.2%63 W · 40 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No78c531.96$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.13751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes31c527.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.123336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No73c527$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.0717140.4%69 W · 102 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes32c500$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16224433.2%81 W · 163 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No72c421.88$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2914729.9%44 W · 103 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd24b…ef76backed Yes33c405.93$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.784443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked No57c402.6$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8714356.6%81 W · 62 L+18.5wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+19.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes30c390$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3821033.3%70 W · 140 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No59c376.87$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0214019.3%27 W · 113 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5529…e5b9backed Yes37c366.21$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6422948.9%112 W · 117 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x936e…473fbacked No77c348.51$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+68.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No50c336.69$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.678149.4%40 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes33c333.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.245642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes9c305$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.053928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes26c300$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.175750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd7a…dc52backed Yes30c292.44$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7854…90a5backed Yes51c291.65$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.371323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No74c275.01$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4320542%86 W · 119 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No43c275$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.34562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No79c256$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.467843.6%34 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes44c249.61$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.992259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No69c229.78$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6533238.6%128 W · 204 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x686d…1a68backed Yes9c226.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214537.8%17 W · 28 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No45c226.55$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.633421.9%73 W · 261 L-23.8wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe9e…6944backed Yes41c211.16$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.54544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed No37c211.11$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1336322.2%14 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes41c205.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.681428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.687437.8%28 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes24c193$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes18c189$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7624861.7%153 W · 95 L+24.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes19c188.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8318310.4%19 W · 164 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes23c183.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6418041.1%74 W · 106 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ca…4ac0backed No79c178.39$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.461573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No53c173$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.15850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed No61c170$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes6c168.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.241216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No69c165$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9410947.7%52 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Yes42c150$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fd…c29cbacked Yes39c128.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No66c125$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.321266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+56.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Yes57c119.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes17c116.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1449511.5%57 W · 438 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x226a…258abacked Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+137%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes48c104.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.652634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid+55.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes23c98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.918343.4%36 W · 47 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes38c96.12$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.163943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No78c94.23$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7521155.9%118 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No74c91$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.365139.2%20 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa784…3605backed Yes23c84.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.536221%13 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes20c83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.017852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No48c76.42$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.524949%24 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No73c76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2812150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187447.3%35 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes37c74.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.065018%9 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No50c72.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.252365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d4b…ca7abacked No38c68.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.612657.7%15 W · 11 L+9.0wins+0.34per pick23cpaid+138.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes27c64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1215431.2%48 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd76…77bdbacked No39c62.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.313043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes31c56.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.534126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.55137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No71c49.53$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.313647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No71c49.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.429578.9%75 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick74cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb333…e295backed Yes26c49.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424c…82b5backed No60c46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf55f…b083backed No59c42.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…a4c0backed Yes46c42.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No49c42.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.545135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No80c41.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.393275%24 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…5e27backed Yes29c41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.89650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No72c38.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.755244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No79c38.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.167451.4%38 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No44c37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.725255.8%29 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No68c36.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.586744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97c2…55d6backed No66c36.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.33070%21 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5838…367cbacked Yes57c35.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.262755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No54c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.014847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8862…bbf5backed No73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452378.3%18 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No57c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.74942.9%21 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8221…22bcbacked Yes44c31.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No38c31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.36036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.334129.3%100 W · 241 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128535.3%30 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed No70c25.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.718757.5%50 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x23cb…0357backed No77c25.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.883151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.