Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eb4dd944ea38e1259b26371b2582b0e6f3cb6ff4583407675b88b511f3eb10d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 0c | 51,269$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.62 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 53c | 12,346$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,490.11 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked Yes | 48c | 11,392$5,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,895.38 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 73c | 4,763$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.45 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 46c | 3,497$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.68 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 2,725$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.67 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 8c | 2,612$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.81 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 45c | 1,647$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.18 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 1c | 1,428$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed No | 5c | 1,200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed No | 62c | 999.62$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.13 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…01f5backed No | 5c | 900$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322b…8743backed No | 78c | 897.96$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked No | 46c | 873.91$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 5c | 800$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…df37backed Yes | 57c | 789.21$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 16c | 777.92$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.05 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 41c | 777$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.41 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 769.05$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.38 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 23c | 749.32$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +165.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 35c | 712.14$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 48c | 667.96$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.91 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 16c | 609.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 58c | 600$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 39c | 555.65$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.92 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…be4dbacked No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 20c | 484.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.21 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked Yes | 10c | 459.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.57 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 19c | 442.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.83 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 38c | 410.76$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.25 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…6e84backed Yes | 62c | 377.28$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 79c | 307.9$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.81 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 55c | 291.9$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.84 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 289$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.65 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 14c | 279.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.89 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 9c | 253.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.84 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 252.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.69 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531f…34a7backed Yes | 69c | 244.83$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 29c | 239.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…9f6abacked Yes | 18c | 214.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +459%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 9c | 211.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 51c | 210$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 203$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 48c | 187$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 27c | 182.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 34c | 179.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 16c | 174.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 69c | 169.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +242.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 165$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 41c | 146.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 26c | 145.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb96…4c54backed Yes | 56c | 144.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 20c | 143.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 24c | 137.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 36c | 134.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 23c | 133.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 24c | 128.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Yes | 65c | 127.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Yes | 21c | 118.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Yes | 21c | 118.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +137%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 13c | 116.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 78c | 110.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 109.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Yes | 23c | 107$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +326.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 50c | 105.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 32c | 104$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 59c | 93.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes | 22c | 89.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…fbecbacked No | 62c | 88.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 17c | 88.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 49c | 86.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…0a38backed Yes | 60c | 83.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 56c | 79.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 68c | 76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 17c | 76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed No | 31c | 74.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 75c | 72.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 63c | 69.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 19c | 66.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…089abacked Yes | 61c | 57.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…e295backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 79c | 52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 75c | 51.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f94…51f6backed Yes | 78c | 51.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 60c | 48.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 79c | 45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e4…d097backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 71c | 37.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…0754backed Yes | 63c | 32.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 79c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…45bdbacked Yes | 39c | 30.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 44c | 30.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…42f0backed Yes | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will Angus King III win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Jason Cherry win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Kenneth Pinet win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.