Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x906842f0acae58e8633c17e933010e1662ca6616fbb3de89f61ff7a3718f5cc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 39c | 36,766$14,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,497.15 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 73c | 12,569$9,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.04 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 49c | 7,874$3,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.73 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 44c | 5,744$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.59 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 60c | 4,376$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.4 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked No | 71c | 4,331$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.85 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 45c | 3,254$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.23 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…bfa2backed Yes | 33c | 2,716$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 40c | 2,655$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.91 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 64c | 2,009$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.79 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 33c | 1,937$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 1,642$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.51 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 4c | 1,616$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 24c | 1,208$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.22 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 23c | 1,118$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.87 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…8e0ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,076$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…edd9backed No | 79c | 999.95$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 22c | 806.8$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed No | 50c | 745.77$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.48 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 69c | 734.98$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.76 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 667.95$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.89 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed Yes | 22c | 653.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 42c | 604.28$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.79 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 58c | 602.11$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.21 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 35c | 520.54$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 58c | 509$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.72 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 48c | 500.96$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…fbecbacked Yes | 46c | 490.31$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 33c | 464.66$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed Yes | 38c | 439.05$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.43 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 29c | 428.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 414.53$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed No | 77c | 398.44$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…86b3backed Yes | 21c | 370.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 366.1$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 31c | 359.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 78c | 357$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked Yes | 14c | 350.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 350$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 61c | 336.7$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 28c | 307.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 34c | 306.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 55c | 300$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.21 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 281.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 281$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 64c | 275$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed Yes | 39c | 264.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 43c | 263.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 42c | 262.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 55c | 257$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…df37backed No | 78c | 254.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…5382backed Yes | 39c | 241.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 233$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed No | 62c | 222.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 26c | 220.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 31c | 210.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa67…19e1backed Yes | 34c | 203.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 42c | 200.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 40c | 199.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 67c | 194.11$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 66c | 184.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 71c | 182$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 165$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 64c | 161.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 6c | 160.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…5c24backed Yes | 14c | 157.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed Yes | 37c | 152.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 145.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 71c | 143.48$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…10d4backed Yes | 33c | 137.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 125.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 73c | 123.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 30c | 115.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb21f…5bbbbacked Yes | 21c | 110.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 19c | 101.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…971abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 31c | 97.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 37c | 97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 32c | 93.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…a33bbacked Yes | 48c | 90.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 59c | 86.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 16c | 84.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 139 | 19.4%27 W · 112 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 23c | 83.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 69c | 82.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 82.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 22c | 79.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 53c | 79.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 63c | 78.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will Angus King III win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Yes won
- Will Jason Cherry win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Kenneth Pinet win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.