NHL · resolved market
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46d52281bbeedf8c99ec45497fda69f9815160cf3c97c48a4f41ab4ecdd11d7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Yes | 44c | 40,304$17,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,549.64 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 52c | 28,642$14,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,750.4 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Yes | 29c | 20,000$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,160 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed No | 71c | 17,834$12,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,592.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Yes | 30c | 15,107$4,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,574.75 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 70c | 15,075$10,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,552.39 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Yes | 30c | 15,000$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,557.49 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 35c | 10,317$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.41 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 70c | 10,000$6,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,950 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15dc…77c8backed No | 70c | 8,755$6,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked No | 45c | 7,785$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.87 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 59c | 7,701$4,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 69c | 7,067$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.81 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked No | 69c | 6,670$4,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,618.37 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Yes | 30c | 6,485$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,547.3 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 70c | 3,537$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed No | 63c | 3,295$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.97 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ae…6a5bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,021$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Yes | 30c | 3,005$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dad…7ad5backed Yes | 12c | 2,775$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c43…a02bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,723$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed No | 27c | 2,491$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.07 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2147…6fd0backed Yes | 7c | 2,424$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 17c | 2,280$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.07 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 27c | 2,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.09 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…acddbacked No | 40c | 1,949$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed No | 70c | 1,900$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.25 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Yes | 69c | 1,669$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…d717backed Yes | 12c | 1,650$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 14c | 1,566$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.5 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 43c | 1,462$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec29…b38bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,417$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,268$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.55 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,189$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 10c | 1,106$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,061$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.86 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 28c | 1,035$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.39 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…3d54backed Yes | 12c | 926$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…a698backed Yes | 12c | 827$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 18c | 816.71$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.9 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 12c | 809.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.66 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…5b83backed Yes | 12c | 779$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…38d5backed Yes | 12c | 765$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…1850backed Yes | 12c | 716$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 685$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e8…4d2abacked Yes | 12c | 678$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes | 29c | 664.5$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.01 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…3618backed Yes | 12c | 647$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed No | 70c | 605.1$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.63 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Yes | 69c | 587.56$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.08 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 7c | 583.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.94 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b93…8785backed Yes | 12c | 576$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 31c | 564.44$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed Yes | 50c | 533$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Yes | 30c | 504.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 47c | 491.31$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.39 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed No | 33c | 486.58$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf71…5f71backed Yes | 12c | 475$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 17c | 455.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…dff1backed Yes | 47c | 421.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Yes | 27c | 403.87$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Yes | 30c | 379.87$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.94 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 7c | 369.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed No | 10c | 368.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…ed88backed Yes | 12c | 366$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…163fbacked Yes | 30c | 364.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 66c | 364.05$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.27 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 17c | 363.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…fb5bbacked Yes | 70c | 357.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed No | 70c | 355.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 14c | 341.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.69 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…a891backed Yes | 30c | 335.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…864cbacked No | 43c | 321.53$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 58c | 285.57$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 56c | 282.43$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 278.49$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…1108backed No | 35c | 270$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 23c | 269$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed Yes | 30c | 268.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 53c | 268.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…5efabacked Yes | 14c | 257.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 53c | 249$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5a…e710backed No | 71c | 243.62$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 9c | 237.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.95 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…766dbacked Yes | 30c | 234.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.23 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 22c | 228.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 10c | 223.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.46 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 70c | 219.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…4531backed Yes | 14c | 210.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 24c | 207.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.61 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 57c | 206.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 15c | 204$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.56 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 70c | 200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed No | 30c | 199.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 70c | 199.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 46c | 196.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 70c | 184.14$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed No | 11c | 176.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 41c | 175.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd77b…24abbacked Yes | 69c | 159.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.