TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$971,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$967,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6aa5…bee3backed Yes6c6,533$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dff…ac34backed Yes6c4,513$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6467…1bfabacked Yes6c4,460$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb587…1f07backed Yes7c3,933$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3274…ec68backed Yes8c3,815$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3628…c71dbacked Yes6c3,273$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6182…7c52backed Yes5c3,125$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa7…6638backed Yes7c3,076$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3158…4bafbacked Yes7c3,059$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5e…329dbacked Yes7c3,056$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe02c…9eb3backed Yes7c3,045$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd8c…b8f2backed Yes8c3,039$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75b3…9917backed Yes7c3,030$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…49ccbacked Yes4c2,877$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d83…311ebacked Yes6c2,850$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xade7…d6efbacked Yes6c2,807$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…0fbabacked Yes5c2,742$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ab…29a3backed Yes5c2,672$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8412…b77bbacked Yes5c2,622$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3878…bed8backed Yes8c2,603$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e17…4e55backed Yes6c2,573$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9e…ceb9backed Yes7c2,573$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f9…73cabacked Yes7c2,546$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4961…be9abacked Yes8c2,396$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ff…af5abacked Yes7c2,394$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa645…febdbacked Yes6c2,350$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8524…9a5dbacked Yes6c2,346$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e83…7cc3backed Yes5c2,331$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbad…683dbacked Yes6c2,307$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c26…e71dbacked Yes7c2,303$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74dd…a525backed Yes8c2,251$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1701…6f0bbacked Yes7c2,232$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7885…a52ebacked Yes7c2,222$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f9…2a78backed Yes6c2,211$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c76…9880backed Yes6c2,146$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x978d…f39abacked Yes7c2,134$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec0…ea36backed Yes4c2,134$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8609…9822backed Yes7c2,133$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce4…3a52backed Yes7c2,089$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f90…9e7bbacked Yes7c2,087$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c0…73febacked Yes7c2,083$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0d2…b14cbacked Yes6c2,069$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e21…bc01backed Yes8c2,039$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03d3…449ebacked Yes4c2,022$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0237…6a88backed Yes7c2,001$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b8…d43abacked Yes6c1,992$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbe…89c3backed Yes7c1,987$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe208…52e8backed Yes8c1,968$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e28…77b2backed Yes7c1,943$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba0…1258backed Yes7c1,938$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73b0…1bb5backed Yes8c1,937$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d0…4990backed Yes7c1,919$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc5…387ebacked Yes8c1,912$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4680…4baebacked Yes7c1,911$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…0044backed Yes7c1,909$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae0…1b17backed Yes7c1,899$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d97…38c1backed Yes8c1,894$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c2…1f7abacked Yes5c1,867$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc1…5086backed Yes6c1,865$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5238…8833backed Yes4c1,861$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd78…4d1fbacked Yes7c1,850$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ff…ed78backed Yes7c1,839$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b0…6ee8backed Yes4c1,800$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf045…b217backed Yes6c1,798$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800b…2a68backed Yes4c1,791$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7488…a325backed Yes6c1,781$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea36…bfe4backed Yes7c1,769$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedff…f3b7backed Yes6c1,760$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8abf…d973backed Yes6c1,758$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0111…e476backed Yes6c1,748$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x405a…a962backed Yes6c1,738$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a86…7211backed Yes7c1,716$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16d0…2fa4backed Yes7c1,705$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9c…14d0backed Yes7c1,693$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2e…95acbacked Yes7c1,689$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes4c1,684$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3410336.9%38 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+2.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0335…68debacked Yes7c1,679$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58a…8983backed Yes8c1,675$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8e…20e5backed Yes7c1,668$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x338b…62c1backed Yes7c1,657$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x043a…d900backed Yes5c1,652$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a3d…59f5backed Yes4c1,640$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3eb…67b2backed Yes4c1,625$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6850…9aa9backed Yes4c1,609$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d01…cbf7backed Yes7c1,601$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ff…1976backed Yes6c1,584$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab6…28f9backed Yes5c1,578$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2959…2b86backed Yes5c1,578$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b7…6df6backed Yes4c1,573$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0455…4b6dbacked Yes4c1,572$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…37b3backed Yes6c1,554$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa718…d15abacked Yes8c1,526$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd904…3d8fbacked Yes5c1,513$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c01…7dfbbacked Yes5c1,496$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcea1…fbd6backed Yes6c1,493$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae6…7f9abacked Yes4c1,452$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd0b…28cdbacked Yes6c1,450$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ba…45a4backed Yes6c1,448$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2df…2e05backed Yes7c1,442$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x631a…df0abacked Yes8c1,436$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.