NHL · resolved market
Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7de38ef42d9fd4add28c1de1e018518b9a046c602c8cb52760f13ffd518bf0ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 9c | 3,029$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.6 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Yes | 12c | 3,005$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a6…0fe6backed Yes | 11c | 2,436$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cb…73adbacked Yes | 12c | 2,402$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ed…15c1backed Yes | 12c | 2,372$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…e162backed Yes | 10c | 2,176$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…c328backed Yes | 12c | 2,024$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 1,980$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.17 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41c…2402backed Yes | 12c | 1,949$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…4ae4backed Yes | 12c | 1,933$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…e4e3backed Yes | 12c | 1,900$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,851$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…4569backed Yes | 12c | 1,690$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…3660backed Yes | 12c | 1,622$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ea…af57backed Yes | 11c | 1,608$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…ec37backed Yes | 12c | 1,541$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb2…7aa7backed Yes | 11c | 1,540$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…fa9fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,525$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…dc5ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,469$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…6102backed Yes | 12c | 1,369$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 10c | 1,363$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.48 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710f…9251backed Yes | 10c | 1,346$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…c843backed Yes | 12c | 1,325$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes | 4c | 1,318$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…a12ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,209$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…3effbacked Yes | 12c | 1,181$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…bfbdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,159$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ba…66d4backed Yes | 10c | 1,139$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 13c | 1,104$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.45 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 6c | 1,099$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…7f8dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,047$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…edadbacked Yes | 10c | 1,018$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 19c | 999.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…6fb5backed Yes | 12c | 923$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 8c | 896.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 11c | 886$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 12c | 880.26$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…08eabacked Yes | 12c | 871$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…39eebacked Yes | 12c | 843$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 19c | 800$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceff…c39cbacked Yes | 12c | 789$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…7170backed Yes | 12c | 779$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…db2cbacked Yes | 12c | 735$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…578cbacked Yes | 12c | 632$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…e71ebacked Yes | 12c | 579$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 13c | 500$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0a…d0fcbacked Yes | 12c | 486$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 2c | 478.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…cb35backed Yes | 12c | 477$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…e476backed Yes | 12c | 473$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd328…8b13backed Yes | 13c | 439.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Yes | 8c | 438.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…1223backed Yes | 12c | 425$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…107fbacked Yes | 13c | 423.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 18c | 416.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1517…b032backed Yes | 12c | 389$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed2…0d2cbacked Yes | 12c | 382$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc697…dd32backed Yes | 12c | 377$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…0b25backed Yes | 12c | 342$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Yes | 9c | 335.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 10c | 308.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…b675backed Yes | 8c | 292.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Yes | 9c | 279$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 5c | 260.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 11c | 256.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 12c | 242.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…e35bbacked Yes | 12c | 204.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…fc9bbacked Yes | 19c | 184.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…c72dbacked Yes | 19c | 134.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 18c | 58.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?Yes won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.