TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$380,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,823 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb68…a240backed Yes6c10,032$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.850049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes3c6,000$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6519836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Yes9c5,785$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Yes6c4,838$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.1918931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebda…81afbacked Yes5c4,334$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeb7…3f7fbacked Yes5c3,379$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79da…80e9backed Yes6c2,980$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4bf…df2abacked Yes5c2,648$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea35…7027backed Yes5c2,541$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes2c2,411$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2510336.9%38 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+2.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27fd…0180backed Yes5c2,358$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cce…7ac6backed Yes8c2,301$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf580…bb16backed Yes8c2,241$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee7…f75cbacked Yes8c2,200$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes8c2,175$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8262346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes5c2,165$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.345242.3%22 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-22.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes4c2,111$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.44942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a7…95a9backed Yes5c2,051$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54cd…0e3bbacked Yes8c2,026$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2f…d0f7backed Yes8c2,021$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d7…7b46backed Yes5c1,941$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce1…6dfdbacked Yes8c1,846$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd091…e7c6backed Yes8c1,841$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9afe…fe58backed Yes8c1,815$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e3…01babacked Yes5c1,811$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x961d…7db3backed Yes9c1,804$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6222…b18ebacked Yes9c1,634$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x030d…3054backed Yes8c1,628$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf2…4e21backed Yes5c1,611$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ee4…234dbacked Yes8c1,561$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99cb…946fbacked Yes9c1,538$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e1…edc8backed Yes5c1,505$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcda…c464backed Yes7c1,493$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b62…1a7ebacked Yes5c1,465$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb543…9e7cbacked Yes8c1,459$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec0…ea36backed Yes5c1,454$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccaa…3c26backed Yes5c1,451$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff4…7409backed Yes5c1,450$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b7c…eb45backed Yes5c1,432$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dd1…48f2backed Yes8c1,431$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8079…b366backed Yes9c1,429$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab4e…a083backed Yes5c1,389$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fab…8aa8backed Yes5c1,385$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc425…5a0fbacked Yes8c1,362$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2615…f717backed Yes9c1,359$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68a0…e4f6backed Yes5c1,329$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…c70cbacked Yes5c1,328$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac45…9048backed Yes7c1,321$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29a…0d14backed Yes5c1,319$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc284…84e6backed Yes8c1,312$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad39…3b75backed Yes5c1,311$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b2f…3bdfbacked Yes5c1,299$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06b1…8b04backed Yes5c1,298$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x702c…bd94backed Yes8c1,287$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e4f…1004backed Yes5c1,282$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa2…9767backed Yes5c1,246$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1850…c06bbacked Yes9c1,228$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x508f…2c0bbacked Yes5c1,225$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe37a…304bbacked Yes8c1,221$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d2…c3bcbacked Yes5c1,191$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…2371backed Yes9c1,181$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071c…997ebacked Yes7c1,165$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e54…fc2dbacked Yes8c1,139$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d6f…b4b1backed Yes5c1,133$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3a…48c4backed Yes9c1,113$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes5c1,111$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4511141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e5…3ea0backed Yes5c1,107$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e4…a846backed Yes9c1,079$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…e51dbacked Yes5c1,046$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6113…7232backed Yes9c1,033$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a8e…7c98backed Yes5c1,026$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f80…fa5cbacked Yes10c1,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca7…4ab7backed Yes9c998$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e3e…b039backed Yes8c989$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd21…d46abacked Yes9c986$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7747…6eadbacked Yes9c979$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9f…59d9backed Yes9c973$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb0…26dabacked Yes5c971$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d4…4124backed Yes8c953$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23f…d7b0backed Yes5c949$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7253…4ac5backed Yes5c884$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf7…e62cbacked Yes9c875$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d9…70febacked Yes9c872$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85eb…d068backed Yes8c859.35$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3983…13a0backed Yes9c839$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd0…a9c6backed Yes8c824$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a38…3f74backed Yes8c810$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c21…bc5fbacked Yes9c802$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc1…e8b0backed Yes6c799$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f72…47a5backed Yes5c792$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd6…7322backed Yes9c786$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7486…470cbacked Yes5c765$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c9…0e72backed Yes8c762$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes4c756.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.562711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c59…29fcbacked Yes8c750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598f…8b70backed Yes9c749$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe269…429dbacked Yes8c748$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6655…4e8abacked Yes8c737$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a59…016dbacked Yes7c725$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdde3…79e3backed Yes9c703$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.